Severe Weather 2025

[keithGA]

FFC playing it extremely fast and loose with TORs this evening.
View attachment 40885

I wonder what FFC’s FAR rating is.

 

[Kds86z]

FFC playing it extremely fast and loose with TORs this evening.
View attachment 40885

Meaning..?

 

[keithGA]

Not sure what it is about my neck of the woods in GA.

 

[keithGA]

And anotha one

 

[Clancy]

Meaning..?

They're basically doing the exact opposite of what BMX does; that is, issuing TORs for every slight bit of rotation they see. I'm not sure why. The environment isn't conducive to it, and none of these storms would warrant a TOR as far as I can tell, even viewing them from TATL. But I dunno, maybe I'm missing something.

 

[keithGA]

They're basically doing the exact opposite of what BMX does; that is, issuing TORs for every slight bit of rotation they see. I'm not sure why. The environment isn't conducive to it, and none of these storms would warrant a TOR as far as I can tell, even viewing them from TATL. But I dunno, maybe I'm missing something.
View attachment 40903

Most of their SVR warnings this evening had TOR possible tags too.

 

[Clancy]

This storm near Thomaston, on the other hand, does look quite interesting.

 

[Clancy]

Getting stronger. Could use better inflow, probably.

 

[Clancy]

Getting stronger. Could use better inflow, probably.
View attachment 40905

Sorry Culloden, I shouldn't have jinxed it!

 

[AJS]

Sorry Culloden, I shouldn't have jinxed it!
View attachment 40908

Damn, it looks classic on reflectivity!

 

[Clancy]

Another storm, Tornado Warned, coming into Greenville, SC. Highly populous corridor.

 

[Clancy]

All TORs expired for now. Wouldn't be surprised if surveys find one or two spin-ups eventually.

 

[JPWX]

I would love to know what the FAR is for each NWS office

 

[lake.effect]

After a very active April, the extended looks pretty quiet for severe threats until day 8-10.
Considering we in the most historically active month for severe, this lull might bring the 2025 tornado tally closer to average by the end of May.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Man the supercell composite is high early this week

 

[Kds86z]

Man the supercell composite is high early this week

Tx next 3 days I assume..

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Tx next 3 days I assume..

Tuesday looks particularly concerning. Just at a glance

 

[AJS]

Tuesday looks particularly concerning. Just at a glance

Right in my neck of the woods.

 

[JPWX]

A word of caution too when looking at these 7-day total rainfall amounts. Overall 2-4 inches expected this week with greater than 5 inches across Southern MS and along the Gulf Coast. However, since we're getting into the "Summer time feel", these total rainfall amounts will differ significantly due to both copious amounts of moisture, slow moving storms, and training of storms over the same areas. Meaning these 5 and 7 day total projected rainfall maps across the Deep South are no longer useful unless you have a tropical system coming in.

 

[Kds86z]

Upgrade for tomorrow.