Severe Weather 2023

[tennessee storm chaser]

That’s what I thought…. Great

Starts in the arklatex day before

 

[JPWX]

Euro Weeklies Mean and Control Ensemble Total rainfall thru Christmas Day.

 

[Weatherphreak]

Euro Weeklies Mean and Control Ensemble Total rainfall thru Christmas Day.

Glad to see Louisiana getting dumped on. They have been having real issues with the Mississippi River not having enough umph to keep the salt water from moving up river and messing up water treatment plants.

 

[Taylor Campbell]

Weather is about to pickup late November into December.

https://x.com/webberweather/status/1722976901906551137?s=46&t=M29Hn9_usrtiLFrSh4Qj2g

 

[cheestaysfly]

Weather is about to pickup late November into December.

https://x.com/webberweather/status/1722976901906551137?s=46&t=M29Hn9_usrtiLFrSh4Qj2g

Does that mean more rain or bad weather like tornadoes?

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Does that mean more rain or bad weather like tornadoes?

Means fixing get active, more rain we have in while and yes including severe wx chances pick also

 

[JPWX]

Total rainfall thru next 10 days off the latest 12z runs of the forecast models and their ensembles.

 

[MattW]

Way out in voodoo land, but that's a scary look for this time of year. Just the fact that it appears is enough. This is ~10 miles south of Columbia, MS 12pm CST on the 26th.

 

[KevinH]

View attachment 22023
Way out in voodoo land, but that's a scary look for this time of year. Just the fact that it appears is enough. This is ~10 miles south of Columbia, MS 12pm CST on the 26th.

Saw the following on Twitter:

https://x.com/coreygerkenwx/status/1722613691366138148?s=46&t=NBCFVgjjJLxach1Cmkmpsw

 

[KevinH]

Me waiting on new posts in this thread for upcoming threats like:

 

[JBishopwx]

Still looks like some areas will see some decent rainfall.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Saw the following on Twitter:
View attachment 22024

https://x.com/coreygerkenwx/status/1722613691366138148?s=46&t=NBCFVgjjJLxach1Cmkmpsw

Was actually going to post the Euro and GFS had a hint of something a decent bit off but I saw you posted it lol. Idk if there's any support though with any ensembles.

**Fairly decent consensus it looks like for a chance at some unsettled weather in about 8-9 days of so. Euro ensembles is a lot more bullish and severe

 

[UncleJuJu98]

This is a good look by the Euro. But it's still too far out. Getting into the typical 2nd tornado season with low cape and high shear events.

 

[KevinH]

This is a good look by the Euro. But it's still too far out. Getting into the typical 2nd tornado season with low cape and high shear events.View attachment 22036

I am not sure how to read this or how it translates to severe weather lol

 

[KevinH]

Still looks like some areas will see some decent rainfall.

Some areas? That’s darn near ALL of Dixie Alley lol

 

[KevinH]

Dixie Alley be like:

 

[MichelleH]

I just really need to hear thunder.

 

[KevinH]

I just really need to hear thunder.

Oh I am sure you will. lol

EDIT: I just saw where you live and I don’t think you will have to worry about thunder

 

[CheeselandSkies]

SPC hasn't really sounded on board for a few days now. A lot of energy flying around but at least as solutions stand right now, the best flow/dynamics look to remain displaced north of any moisture/CAPE.

 

[Weatherphreak]

Looking at the 19-21 storm models and having watched some youtube videos am I correct in saying that it doesn’t have a lot of divergence and therefore would be more of a squal line storm mode?