Severe Weather 2023

[Timhsv]

CFS and GFS shows a stout upper system developing by next weekend, with a powerful 145knt jet at 300 mb.

 

[KevinH]

CFS and GFS shows a stout upper system developing by next weekend, with a powerful 145knt jet at 300 mb.
View attachment 21982
View attachment 21983

If I am reading this correctly (which I am probably not), this map looks like it could be an ArkLaTex threat????

Will be interesting to see how this evolves.

 

[Timhsv]

If I am reading this correctly (which I am probably not), this map looks like it could be an ArkLaTex threat????

Will be interesting to see how this evolves.

Yes, as well as the Lower MS. Valley at this point and time

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Yes, as well as the Lower MS. Valley at this point and time

Yeah . Here we go …. Bout time for some fall severe

 

[Clancy]

Music to my ears. It's been 2000 years since I've heard thunder LOL (Not really but it feels like it!)

We could all really use some rain too!

 

[JPWX]

18z GFS with a severe weather threat around or just after Thanksgiving. Regardless of severe threat or not, the idea of a very active pattern setting up with system after system going into Thanksgiving and beyond is becoming a pretty good idea.

 

[KevinH]

And so it18z GFS with a severe weather threat around or just after Thanksgiving. Regardless of severe threat or not, the idea of a very active pattern setting up with system after system going into Thanksgiving and beyond is becoming a pretty good idea.

Looks like this threat area is the same as the potential threat on the 19th… SMH

 

[JPWX]

12z GFS, 12z Canadian, and 00z Euro all have a significant system prior to or during Thanksgiving Week.

 

[JBishopwx]

12z GFS, 12z Canadian, and 00z Euro all have a significant system prior to or during Thanksgiving Week.

Some impressive rainfall totals for South Alabama and Mississppi possible too. (totals includes this weekend's rain amounts)

 

[JPWX]

Some impressive rainfall totals for South Alabama and Mississppi possible too. (totals includes this weekend's rain amounts)

I'll take the Euro amounts for 200 Alex

 

[KevinH]

12z GFS, 12z Canadian, and 00z Euro all have a significant system prior to or during Thanksgiving Week.

This one looks like a threat could be further east in the MS/AL/GA area.

Hmmmmm

 

[JPWX]

12z Euro

 

[KevinH]

12z Euro

Southeast and east of the red/orange would be the threat area right?

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Southeast and east of the red/orange would be the threat area right?

Arklatex and east

 

[JPWX]

Southeast and east of the red/orange would be the threat area right?

Yes

 

[KevinH]

Yes

That’s what I thought…. Great

 

[MichelleH]

That’s what I thought…. Great

It's that time of year.

 

[KevinH]

It's that time of year.

Yep!

Despite how destructive severe weather is, it is still interesting to see how things play out with each event.

 

[JPWX]

It's that time of year.

When the storms fall in love. Every song you hear seems to say Merry Christmas

 

[KevinH]

12z Euro

Keep these coming by the way. Love it!