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Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

Grand Poo Bah said:
I will say, looking closer at these posts, this is definitely one of the stronger EF5 candidates we've had in quite a while, so maybe I'll save the skepticism until after the surveys are done. I'll have to find some of @Sawmaster's old posts in the EF thread, and repost them there, because he made some really strong points about how a lot of older houses are actually quite a bit sturdier than most newer houses.
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I would argue that this isn’t really a strong EF5 candidate yet. If there’s a house thoroughly slabbed with evidence of anchor bolts with good context surrounding it, then I think we can start discussing that. The tree scar through the forest is really impressive though, and despite that not being a viable indicator of EF5 intensity, it at least gives it a very viable shot at an EF4 rating.

There’s quite moderate granulation, but the tree damage and vehicle damage I’ve seen isn’t overly impressive to me. There is one home I saw from earlier posts that’s definitely a solid EF4 candidate, and a surface level look leads me to think that could get a 180+ MPH rating just based on how the slab and debris looks. It doesn’t quite have “the look” that an EF5 would demand though.
 
slenker said:
I would argue that this isn’t really a strong EF5 candidate yet. If there’s a house thoroughly slabbed with evidence of anchor bolts with good context surrounding it, then I think we can start discussing that. The tree scar through the forest is really impressive though, and despite that not being a viable indicator of EF5 intensity, it at least gives it a very viable shot at an EF4 rating.

There’s quite moderate granulation, but the tree damage and vehicle damage I’ve seen isn’t overly impressive to me. There is one home I saw from earlier posts that’s definitely a solid EF4 candidate, and a surface level look leads me to think that could get a 180+ MPH rating just based on how the slab and debris looks.
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The vehicle damage is pretty lackluster, but there is some significant tree damage in London. Not extreme, but significant.
 
Grand Poo Bah said:
I will say, looking closer at these posts, this is definitely one of the stronger EF5 candidates we've had in quite a while, so maybe I'll save the skepticism until after the surveys are done. I'll have to find some of @Sawmaster's old posts in the EF thread, and repost them there, because he made some really strong points about how a lot of older houses are actually quite a bit sturdier than most newer houses.
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We did also say that after Diaz, Mayfield and Rolling Fork, though, so…
 
Kds86z said:
Diaz is the strongest of year correct? Is this less than that? I think so
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I believe Diaz was the strongest of the year quite solidly so far, but there’s likely still damage we haven’t seen from these tornadoes. I wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest if there was at least one high end EF4 indicator or even higher from yesterday.
 
Brice W said:
Bowling Green storm is about to enter into the shadows. Good grief that radar hole is ridiculous.
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Looking back, I really thought it was finished once it left Bowling Green. It didn’t look very impressive at all between Bowling Green until it reinvigorated West of Somerset, but that probably had to do with the radar hole.

Still, the definition of discrete. Fox Weather had a neat graphic showing the supercells birth in Missouri at noon yesterday in that initial grouping of 4 supercells. Tracks almost 500 miles to the east after that.
 
Grand Poo Bah said:
I will say, looking closer at these posts, this is definitely one of the stronger EF5 candidates we've had in quite a while, so maybe I'll save the skepticism until after the surveys are done. I'll have to find some of @Sawmaster's old posts in the EF thread, and repost them there, because he made some really strong points about how a lot of older houses are actually quite a bit sturdier than most newer houses.
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@ColdFront This is what I'm referring to

EDIT: That's Marion. Looking at the scene, and all the photos.....doesn't scream EF5 to me, but then Rochelle was also somewhat lacking in ground scouring and still caused clear EF5 damage. Currently thinking EF4 for Marion pending further details.
 
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