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Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

I think that's CC clutter from the hail core if I'm not mistaken.
Yea, I noticed right after posting that it took on more of a rectangle shape (still in the couplet area, though, although the radar hole sucks). I assume TDS/Hail confusion like this today may be a bit of a problem.
 
That CIN/subsidence from the earlier line has moved off to the northeast. Those cells East of Bowling Green are completely isolated on what seems to be some sort of confluence band, and about to move right into a sweet pocket of 300+ ESRH.
 
Reed Timmer just got blasted by a dry microburst.
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3pm ET observations show ideal T/DP spreads east of the two SE MO cells. The southernmost of the two appears to be growing into the more dominant cell, and it could end up being the long tracker given the environment in front of it. That said, I wonder if the dip in 0-1km shear near the MO/TN/KY border will have any impact on the maturing updraft.
 
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