jiharris0220
Member
Quite the helpful 3d animation by Brandt on how hodographs are structured in soundings for beginners.
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Severe WX Severe threat 3/30-3/31
- Thread starter Bulkshear
- Start date
Muwx
Member
Still another 90 minutes away
Kds86z
Member
2-230am est sir @UncleJuJu98
OhOkayThen
Member
Was just talking to a fellow chaser friend of mine about how Red River Valley outbreak keeps showing up on hodo analogs for this event. So a Wichita Falls guy commenting about hodos seems like a sign. Hopefully not.
Kds86z
Member
I’ll be up for it
I might make an interactive 3d hodograph visualizer at some point because it really helps shoe what hodographs actually mean.
cg9450
Member
I’m kinda, almost, terrified.
Definitely gonna see a moderate. That wording is too extreme for it not to be.
tennessee storm chaser
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Ummm running little late
tennessee storm chaser
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Something is up ….lol
Kds86z
Member
Well hello, you look familiar…
Still differences between models on widespread convection etc for a MDT
Now to bed…
OhOkayThen
Member
SPC maintains ENH for Sunday, essentially stating RAP spooked them with widespread daytime convection. Sounds like next update a MDT would definitely be in play though.
A monster 10% hatched TOR on D2 doesn't usually stay in the ENH category for long.
A monster 10% hatched TOR on D2 doesn't usually stay in the ENH category for long.
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tennessee storm chaser
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Yeah that’s quiet a large 10 percent hatched tornado for sure .
LoopingHodos
Member
Interested to see how the HRRR treats morning convection and OFB. This might be the tie breaker. Should have something somewhat soon.
OhOkayThen
Member
HRRR with an uptrend and much less convection from 7am-3pm compared to 00z. Developing a round of supercells around 4pm ahead of the main round.
OhOkayThen
Member
NWS Paducah believes the odds for widespread daytime convection that would decrease instability is very low Sunday (with even some sun potential at times) and they believe the risk for a Moderate upgrade is "very real".
KevinH
Member
Soooooooo…… just wanted to point this out 
D2 (Sun, 3/30):
D5 (Wed, 4/2):
REALLY?!?!
D2 (Sun, 3/30):
D5 (Wed, 4/2):
REALLY?!?!
KevinH
Member
Wait until April