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Severe WX Severe Threat 27-28 March 2021
- Thread starter MattPetrulli
- Start date
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- Tags
- severe wx
Equus
Member
The last few events went ham to the SE of the highest risk area and I'm to the SE of the highest risk area so I should prolly pay attention
cheestaysfly
Member
Same here, kinda. I'm in that tiny north western corner of Alabama that keeps sneaking into all the high risk areas.
CSimonds
Member
Is there still a cap? It seems like the individual cells are struggling.
If the current SPC Thunderstorm Outlook is to be believed, the main action is expected to start after 0z (7:00 PM CDT). So likely a nocturnal event (ugh...).
SPC Sep 8, 2023 1630Z Thunderstorm Outlook
www.spc.noaa.gov
Evan
Member
I think a lot of people are about to be surprised today.
CSimonds
Member
What are the thoughts about the surface winds out of the SW?
Equus
Member
We got widely spaced individual cells blowing up all across N MS, N AL, and W TN; out of the highest risk areas, but the hodo from GWX is supportive of supercell structures with perhaps hail in anything that gets very well rooted so is actually kind of ominous. Got the feeling of a sleeper day about to drop some surprises. Mostly speed shear right now but directional shear will increase as the evening wears on, unfortunately with a nocturnal tornado threat
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It might put a damper on things, or it might not. After all, there's quite a few examples of Dixie Alley outbreaks that have occurred with SW flow at the surface. All we can do right now is see what the atmosphere decides to do today, and act accordingly.
CSimonds
Member
Dew point in Guntersville dropped from 65 to 61. Seems like some stable dry air mixing in at the moment
Liberty4dayz
Member
Waynesboro just had an EF2 during the last round. Buddy of mine(who rode it out in a trailer)said they just got the the power back. Looks rough.
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Equus
Member
79/65 here, hoo boy, feels a little intriguing with how isolated those cells popping up are
Liberty4dayz
Member
Cell south of Jackson ramping up.
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Sent from my SM-G955U1 using Tapatalk
Brett Adair has a bear's cage on his stream:
livestormchasing.com
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Equus
Member
So the shower in my front yard has some structure with perhaps a mini rain free base already
Clancy
Member
Storm east of Jackson, TN just went TOR warned.
Kragg
Member
Looks like the cap is broken with severe t-storm warnings in MS AL and TN.
Rotation is tightening in the TN storm and it’s about to enter a radar hole.
Rotation is tightening in the TN storm and it’s about to enter a radar hole.
Clancy
Member
That cell in NW Alabama looks quite interesting.
Marshal79344
Member
The minute the LLJ goes off storm intensity increases. Very cool to see these kinematics at work.