Severe WX Severe Threat 25 March 2021

[Clancy]

Eagle Point.

 

[Kory]

There is a lot of untapped air south of 20/59. Effective SRH is beginning to increase.

 

[TH2002]

Reports of injuries and entrapment in St. Helena

 

[The Nino]

 

[Bama Ravens]

Did Spann say he had damage at his house?

 

[Brice Wood]

There is a lot of untapped air south of 20/59. Effective SRH is beginning to increase.

Yes this is far from being over

 

[Equus]

The shortwave has trended weaker from initial modeling, leading to more SW flow in the warm sector over MS rather than S or SSE; we'll see if winds start backing but that's going to be why stuff in MS is a mess right now. Still, extremely dangerous situation out there

 

[South AL Wx]

Radar confirmed tornado again in St. Clair County from the same storm that dropped the Shelby County tornado.

 

[speedbump305]

This is getting really bad

 

[KoD]

All the convection in the high risk area is thankfully cluttered and not producing substantial rotation at this time. That's not to say things can change, but for now this looks different than projections indicated. You can tell everything wants to spin, especially around the MS/AL border. I'd keep a close eye on that area. I imagine all this convection in Alabama is diminishing the areal risk, but with the ingredients in play and a deepening low, keep a look out for numerous rotations developing in the chaos. Also watch for areas south of the convective mass that's on-going.

 

[Equus]

Satellite and internet out again here from extremely heavy constant rain, hasn't gotten above 68 with basement and yard flooding. Be nice if some of this rain could wait until the season when it's actually needed

 

[Tyler Penland]

Worth noting that the HRRR has been trending up on the threat for North Georgia later tonight. Also it initializes this precip well and clears it out over the coming hours with multiple large supercells this evening/early overnight.

 

[Argus]

Right now it is 76/63 here. I'm about 30 minutes south of where that Georgia tornado warning was a few minutes ago.

 

[MichelleH]

Did Spann say he had damage at his house?

Yes.

 

[Justin Hindman]

68 in Birmingham

 

[Tyler Penland]

I'm guessing we'll see a slight eastward shift in the new D1 but who knows.

 

[Clancy]

Worth noting that the HRRR has been trending up on the threat for North Georgia later tonight. Also it initializes this precip well and clears it out over the coming hours with multiple large supercells this evening/early overnight.

The threat over here is definitely notable. Been watching the HRRR tracking some solid streaks over N GA for the past several runs. Certainly seems plausible.

 

[Clancy]

More damage from Eagle Point. Certainly seems like they got it pretty rough.

 

[warneagle]

Serious damage in Eagle Point.

 

[The Nino]

so the warm front was said to make it all the way into TN but seems like its getting stuck over north AL?