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Severe WX Severe Threat 25 March 2021

The shortwave has trended weaker from initial modeling, leading to more SW flow in the warm sector over MS rather than S or SSE; we'll see if winds start backing but that's going to be why stuff in MS is a mess right now. Still, extremely dangerous situation out there
 
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Radar confirmed tornado again in St. Clair County from the same storm that dropped the Shelby County tornado.
 
All the convection in the high risk area is thankfully cluttered and not producing substantial rotation at this time. That's not to say things can change, but for now this looks different than projections indicated. You can tell everything wants to spin, especially around the MS/AL border. I'd keep a close eye on that area. I imagine all this convection in Alabama is diminishing the areal risk, but with the ingredients in play and a deepening low, keep a look out for numerous rotations developing in the chaos. Also watch for areas south of the convective mass that's on-going.
 
Worth noting that the HRRR has been trending up on the threat for North Georgia later tonight. Also it initializes this precip well and clears it out over the coming hours with multiple large supercells this evening/early overnight.
 
I'm guessing we'll see a slight eastward shift in the new D1 but who knows.
 
Worth noting that the HRRR has been trending up on the threat for North Georgia later tonight. Also it initializes this precip well and clears it out over the coming hours with multiple large supercells this evening/early overnight.
The threat over here is definitely notable. Been watching the HRRR tracking some solid streaks over N GA for the past several runs. Certainly seems plausible.
 
More damage from Eagle Point. Certainly seems like they got it pretty rough.
 
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