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Severe WX Severe Threat 17-18 March 2021

CheeselandSkies said:
As per the "spirited" back-and-forth on the other forum, today's not gonna be that day but could easily be one of if not the most destructive days since.
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Yes i agree. This will probably be what i like to call “ The first April 27th in a while “ this means that it won’t probably be like April 27th, but it means that today will be life threatening and very significant
 
Looks like the CAD I asked about during the predawn hours is hanging tough for N AL. Temps still in the chilly 50’s. Sun seems like it is trying to peek out but only time will tell. The storms forming to our south may choke off the instability and moisture feed to N AL and TN?
 
CheeselandSkies said:
As per the "spirited" back-and-forth on the other forum, today's not gonna be that day but could easily be one of if not the most destructive days since.
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You actually can answer that question in about 12 hours. Right now the only important thing is what you and your loved ones will do if your in the tornado warning polygon.


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Guys idk if this is way to early to tell and i really hope this doesn’t happen, but we could have the First EF5 in 8 years. I really hope that doesn’t happen, but with how dangerous of a setup this is, it’s possible with how many places are in the outlook and just how dangerous the setup is
 
I live in the eastern corner of Tuscaloosa county. Where Bibb, Jefferson, and Tuscaloosa touch. Currently surrounded by happy little kidney beans that I’m hoping dont get stronger anytime soon.
 
Casuarina Head said:
I think the I-20 corridor between Meridian, MS, and Tuscaloosa, AL, is going to be the most likely focus of a violent tornado, given the temperature differential in the area juxtaposed with outflow boundaries and low-level convergence, along with strong instability. This roughly aligns with recent mesoscale guidance. Any discrete supercell that manages to become surface-based in this area has great potential to produce a violent tornado. Edit: SPC just added 45% hatched TOR right over this area.
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Unfortunately, this has a history of being a well-traveled corridor for tornadic supercells.
 
CheeselandSkies said:
15Z HRRR is very similar to the 14Z (as in very ominous), but I notice it doesn't seem to be resolving the current group of "kidney beans" in the Birmingham area very well.
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Noticed the same. Curious as to the ultimate impact of that.
 
That storm SE of Laurel, MS seems to be growing, rotation is definitely tightening.
 
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