Hurricane Melissa

[Ozonelayer]

This Cyclone is essentially doing whatever is so chooses. It might even make landfall in Cuba if it continues.

 

[lake.effect]

Recon prediction:

898/165kt

 

[Blountwolf]

I would say less "steers itself" and more "becomes strong enough to affect the normal steering currents". But even the strongest still can get pushed around by those currents.

 

[tornado examiner]

Okay. Well. First pass for recon has it at 910mb.

I was right about a slight weakening trend.

 

[Stormchaser4life]

Really starting to think a miss is more possible on Jamaica. If anything extreme western Jamaica unless this really does a hard right turn later. I think Melissa is lost in no steering flow currently and just meandering.

 

[N0mz]

910 @ 40kts. Call it a 906 or so. Probably has to restabilize after all those cold towers just went up.

 

[996ttcab]

Cloud tops super cold. Absent EWRC, I think eye misses Jamica.

Been living on other side of world, Bali, for 5 years. What happened Jeff Mastter's website and blogs he started after Weather Wunderground? Just curious. Keeping close eye as I chase these for surging when stateside.

 

[lake.effect]

A miss is still very unlikely. It's definitely more west than expected, but our eyes are deceiving us because of the consistent west motion. All indications are that it will start hooking NE within moments.

 

[akt1985]

Max Velocity is also streaming Melissa

 

[tornado examiner]

While she has weakened slightly. I feel like she may be about to drop off a cliff again because it will naturally smoothen itself out without an ewrc.
Especially with the eye getting even tighter and smaller,

 

[Ozonelayer]

910 @ 40kts. Call it a 906 or so. Probably has to restabilize after all those cold towers just went up.

They also (Atleast according to Max Velocity) just grazed the eye and claims there is reason to believe it is stronger.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

While she has weakened slightly. I feel like she may be about to drop off a cliff again because it will naturally smoothen itself out without an ewrc.

? They haven't hit the NE eyewall yet, no evidence to suggest it is weakening entirely.

 

[TornadoFan]

While she has weakened slightly. I feel like she may be about to drop off a cliff again because it will naturally smoothen itself out without an ewrc.
Especially with the eye getting even tighter and smaller,

There's nothing to suggest it's weakening.

 

[tornado examiner]

? They haven't hit the NE eyewall yet, no evidence to suggest it is weakening entirely.

Yeah…hasn't weakened I spoke too soon.

 

[Blountwolf]

I expect a hard right turn, but I am hoping for Jamaica's sake I am wrong. I would LOVE to be wrong. I will dance a happy jig if I'm wrong.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

What's the ETA of landfall?

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

we also have the jet interaction to worry abt along side the dinural heating nighttime thingy

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[TornadoFan]

Wow......