Tropical Storm Melissa

[Jacob Aden]

This is going to be the one this year. Conditions are very favorable for development and intensification

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[KakashiHatake2000]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Clancy]

Oh, this stinks. Could be extremely bad news for Jamaica, Cuba or Haiti, depending on where it goes. Seems like most models favor it hitting land of some kind - crowded territory, so not a lot of open-water options here.

 

[Atlantic]

Welcome Tropical Storm Melissa, I hope you doesn’t cause major destruction.

 

[N0mz]

Seems like models have opened back up to a possible track over Cuba. Was looking pretty certain that we’d get a Hispaniola landfall for a couple days there.

 

[akt1985]

We now officially have Tropical Storm Melissa.

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

Looks like the Haiti landfall solution is losing ground.

Cuba - watch out.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[tornado examiner]

Melissa stalling off the coast of Jamaica as a major hurricane would be. Yeesh. Mitch 2.0

 

[N0mz]

Seems like the best chance now is for Jamaica to "shield" Cuba/Hispaniola while Melissa is still low-end. Otherwise, if this leaks out further towards the Yucatan Peninsula and past Jamaica, explosive intensification is all but guaranteed before a northward turn towards Cuba.