tornado examiner
Member
Well at least it’ll likely be confirmed as a 175mph cane. Which is better than 160.
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Hurricane Melissa
- Thread starter Jacob Aden
- Start date
Smokedevil
Member
Good lord @ 240. I wonder what it is at the surface? 175? Higher even?
tornado examiner
Member
Recon still has a max of 909.5 for pressure drop. So I'm guessing the deepening may be leveling off.
The max pressure was a 907mb reading.
The max pressure was a 907mb reading.
tornado examiner
Member
If it manages to avoid an EWRC before it starts intensifying again then it really could go sub 900mb.
tornado examiner
Member
Okay. Officially 165mph 908mb now.
Seems a bit low on the winds but eh.
Seems a bit low on the winds but eh.
Is mission 20 making another pass, or are they done?
N0mz
Member
Probably gonna be in the ballpark of 910/170 mph on this advisory
tornado examiner
Member
Already issued.
Yikes
lake.effect
Member
@Wind Driven Coconut - love your username pal
majorhurricane1703
Member
I get the sense we’ll likely never know for sure Melissa’s true intensity due to the dangerous flight hurricane hunters have to make. I don’t blame them for that though.
tornado examiner
Member
Well we’re getting at least one more pass from recon but something tells’s me we’ll just see a steady state.
TornadoFan
Member
908 mb with sustained winds up to 165 mph
majorhurricane1703
Member
Looks like Melissa (at least from what I could tell) took another southwest jog. Certainly doesn’t seem to be in a hurry to take a northward path right away.
AF308 (Mission 20) should be back in the eye now. (I fired up Google Earth with the recon kmz - I had forgotten how cool that is.)
N0mz
Member
905.6, still dropping and we’re chasing Milton now
170kts, no suspect data flag (via SFMR).
Dropsonde measured 210kts at 907mb again.
Dropsonde measured 210kts at 907mb again.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
um, sorry but WHAT?! I don't usually use all caps when reacting but we're completely sure that's accurate data and that Melissa is actually sustaining 190+?
Is it possible that the higher winds in the higher levels are translating to the surface now? This is the most absurd wind speed measurement I've seen in my short time of tracking hurricanes.
Code:
Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 13:32Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF98-5308
Storm Name: Melissa
Storm Number: 13 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 20
Observation Number: 13
Part A...
Date: Near the closest hour of 13Z on the 27th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 850mb
Coordinates: 16.4N 78.0W
Location: 137 statute miles (220 km) to the SW (215°) from Kingston, Jamaica.
Marsden Square: 044
Surface and Standard Isobaric Surfaces
Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1000mb This level does not exist in this area of the storm above the surface level.
930mb (27.47 inHg) Surface (Sea Level) 25.2°C (77.4°F) 25.2°C (77°F) 345° (from the NNW) 141 knots (162 mph)
925mb 44m (144 ft) 24.4°C (75.9°F) 23.4°C (74°F) 350° (from the N) 161 knots (185 mph)
850mb 784m (2,572 ft) 21.0°C (69.8°F) 21.0°C (70°F) 55° (from the NE) 157 knots (181 mph)
700mb 2,452m (8,045 ft) Other data not available.
Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 12:55Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.
Remarks Section...
Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eyewall 45° (NE) from the eye center.
Highest altitude where wind was reported:
- Location: 16.43N 78.04W
- Time: 12:55:46Z
Lowest altitude where wind was reported:
- Location: 16.35N 78.19W
- Time: 13:00:08Z
Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 15° (from the NNE)
- Wind Speed: 182 knots (209 mph)
Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 60° (from the ENE)
- Wind Speed: 136 knots (157 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 705mb to 930mb
Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 151 gpm - 1 gpm (495 geo. feet - 3 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 0° (from the N)
- Wind Speed: 171 knots (197 mph)
Sounding Software Version: AEV 40001
Part B: Data for Significant Levels...
Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels
Level Air Temperature Dew Point
930mb (Surface) 25.2°C (77.4°F) 25.2°C (77°F)
924mb 24.4°C (75.9°F) 21.5°C (71°F)
920mb 23.4°C (74.1°F) 21.9°C (71°F)
850mb 21.0°C (69.8°F) 21.0°C (70°F)
702mb 13.4°C (56.1°F) 13.4°C (56°F)
Significant Wind Levels
Level Wind Direction Wind Speed
930mb (Surface) 345° (from the NNW) 141 knots (162 mph)
928mb 350° (from the N) 141 knots (162 mph)
927mb 350° (from the N) 150 knots (173 mph)
923mb 355° (from the N) 175 knots (201 mph)
907mb 15° (from the NNE) 210 knots (242 mph)
901mb 15° (from the NNE) 193 knots (222 mph)
896mb 20° (from the NNE) 191 knots (220 mph)
894mb 25° (from the NNE) 185 knots (213 mph)
888mb 25° (from the NNE) 191 knots (220 mph)
883mb 30° (from the NNE) 178 knots (205 mph)
877mb 30° (from the NNE) 170 knots (196 mph)
872mb 35° (from the NE) 175 knots (201 mph)
868mb 40° (from the NE) 172 knots (198 mph)
865mb 40° (from the NE) 179 knots (206 mph)
861mb 40° (from the NE) 174 knots (200 mph)
858mb 45° (from the NE) 176 knots (203 mph)
857mb 45° (from the NE) 172 knots (198 mph)
856mb 50° (from the NE) 158 knots (182 mph)
854mb 55° (from the NE) 155 knots (178 mph)
850mb 55° (from the NE) 157 knots (181 mph)
764mb 90° (from the E) 154 knots (177 mph)
738mb 100° (from the E) 140 knots (161 mph)
705mb 115° (from the ESE) 155 knots (178 mph)
Winds at a particular level are peak winds since a dropsonde only records momentary slices of data at each level as it falls through the atmosphere. These winds are not 1 minute sustained.
The highest wind observed in the "Significant Wind Levels" section is noted in bold.