Severe WX May 2019 Plains Severe Event

[xJownage]

Looks like it may finally be occluding, there was a smaller cell that developed and cut the BWER which would make sense as a cause of occlusion.

EDIT: Debris signature has dissipated on radar. Hopefully it's gone at this point.

 

[Evan]

Mets are calling the intensity on TV again, SMH.

At least this time they're basing it off of the velocity product compared to the EF scale gradients. OKC mets were just looking at a rain-wrapped tornado visually and making a claim.

 

[Blizzard1]

Yeah even if it is cycling out a bit, with that structure it can get right back to business in no time. Gotta play it safe with this one.

 

[locomusic01]

 

[buckeye05]

Circulation is looking pretty choked off by precip. Hopefully this is a “one and done” kinda deal.

 

[xJownage]

Guys, the broad southern rotation was actually the cycle of this storm. That broad rotation is intensifying currently and is likely to drop another tornado...this one clipping the north side of the KC metro should it drop.

 

[Evan]

My concern is that the HRRR shows an area of higher helicity and shear right over the county that Kansas City is primarily located in.

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

 

[Blizzard1]

Yeah someone mentioned multiple vorticies from the chopper feed moments ago

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Equus]

Looks like it's cycling and if that's the case, expect a possible right turn at a very bad time

 

[Blizzard1]

Indeed, the right turn would send it right towards KC

 

[locomusic01]

My concern is that the HRRR shows an area of higher helicity and shear right over the county that Kansas City is primarily located in.

SPC Mesoanalysis still shows a pretty volatile atmosphere, especially with a bit of a right turn apparent.

 

[buckeye05]

Guys, the broad southern rotation was actually the cycle of this storm. That broad rotation is intensifying currently and is likely to drop another tornado...this one clipping the north side of the KC metro should it drop.

Velocities are decreasing rapidly

 

[xJownage]

Velocities are decreasing rapidly

Now they are. Before it was intensifying.

 

[kcyalater]

Presentation on the KC storm is trash atm.

 

[xJownage]

It looks like it's become outflow dominant or at the very least is currently undercut. I don't see this producing a tornado in the KC metro at the moment.

 

[Equus]

Also while all this is happening, discrete supercells firing along dryline all over OK/KS

 

[locomusic01]

Unfortunately not surprising to see significant damage already.

 

[Evan]

Unfortunately not surprising to see significant damage already.

Yeah, that's probably greater than EF-3 damage (usual caveats about construction quality, etc).