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Severe WX March 3rd-5th 2025 Severe Weather Threat

SVA expanded eastward. SPC also says a Tornado Watch will be needed for the Panhandle, as rising dews are making their way inland alongside the extremely strong kinematics present.
Mesoscale Discussion 0142
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1028 PM CST Tue Mar 04 2025

Areas affected...Florida Panhandle...Southeast Alabama...Southwest
Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely

Valid 050428Z - 050530Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...New Tornado Watch appears warranted.

DISCUSSION...Mid 60s surface dew points have nosed inland ahead of
the squall line across the western Florida Panhandle. This air mass
is providing a bit more buoyancy along southern portions of the MCS,
which may enhance updraft strength and potential severe. Forecast
soundings suggest near-surface based convection with 65 dew point,
but lifted parcels are still likely a bit elevated. Latest buoy data
suggests 67 dew point is just offshore and this may advance inland
ahead of the line. Given the very strong shear, there is increasing
concern for damaging winds, and perhaps a few tornadoes. New Tornado
watch will likely be issued soon.

..Darrow/Guyer.. 03/05/2025
Click to expand...

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 142

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
 
Clancy said:
SVA expanded eastward. SPC also says a Tornado Watch will be needed for the Panhandle, as rising dews are making their way inland alongside the extremely strong kinematics present.

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 142

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
Click to expand...
I’m going to bed
 
Lights have started flickering here due to the gradient winds.
 
SVR for me now. These storms have really stuck together despite abysmal thermos. Warning includes over 1.1 million people.
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1251 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Paulding County in northwestern Georgia...
Northeastern Carroll County in northwestern Georgia...
Northern Douglas County in north central Georgia...
Southeastern Floyd County in northwestern Georgia...
Gordon County in northwestern Georgia...
Western Cherokee County in north central Georgia...
Northeastern Haralson County in northwestern Georgia...
Cobb County in north central Georgia...
Southwestern Gilmer County in north central Georgia...
Southern Murray County in northwestern Georgia...
Eastern Polk County in northwestern Georgia...
Pickens County in north central Georgia...
Bartow County in northwestern Georgia...

* Until 130 AM EST.

* At 1250 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Resaca to near Euharlee to near Abilene, moving
east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Marietta, Douglasville, Canton, Cartersville, Calhoun, Dallas,
Jasper, Ellijay, Smyrna, Kennesaw, Woodstock, Acworth, Villa Rica,
Powder Springs, Holly Springs, Austell, Adairsville, Temple,
Rockmart, and Euharlee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

If you see wind damage...hail or flooding...wait until the storm has
passed...and then call the National Weather Service toll free
at 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6 or tweet us your report at NWSATLANTA.

&&

LAT...LON 3474 8437 3379 8452 3375 8457 3365 8510
3415 8506 3462 8498
TIME...MOT...LOC 0550Z 254DEG 26KT 3461 8493 3418 8499 3369 8504

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
Click to expand...
 
tornado examiner said:
So…no strong tornadoes anywhere from this entire event.

I think
Click to expand...
1 nickel hail report and 1 significant wind report

yesterday.gif
 
How much y’all wanna bet the March 14th trough ain’t gonna be anything special either?

“Ohhh look another major tornado outbreak signal on the long range models ooooo pretty.”

Baaahhh. Its not worth looking at so closely so far out.
 
tornado examiner said:
How much y’all wanna bet the March 14th trough ain’t gonna be anything special either?

“Ohhh look another major tornado outbreak signal on the long range models ooooo pretty.”

Baaahhh. Its not worth looking at so closely so far out.
Click to expand...
just watch it like every signal at these ranges, don't listen to the weenies who use the gfs 240hr fantasy run majic
 
tornado examiner said:
But….if this next one actually turns into something truely major I’ll be surprised.
Click to expand...
One event has occurred since the beginning of meteorological spring, and it dealt with big moisture issues, not atypical of an early spring setup. Big days can and will show up this far out, so it definitely still bears watching. There’s no need for any hyping up just yet though, I think waiting till ~7 days out is typically best for becoming much more confident on what’ll occur. But we absolutely shouldn’t be writing this one off until models tell us otherwise.
 
slenker said:
One event has occurred since the beginning of meteorological spring, and it dealt with big moisture issues, not atypical of an early spring setup. Big days can and will show up this far out, so it definitely still bears watching. There’s no need for any hyping up just yet though, I think waiting till ~7 days out is typically best for becoming much more confident on what’ll occur. But we absolutely shouldn’t be writing this one off until models tell us otherwise.
Click to expand...
Basically what I was trying to say is…watch, but don’t make a call either way I guess…
Or…sheesh. Nvm. I can’t decide what to think this morning.
 
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