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Severe WX March 30th- April 1st 2023 (South, Southeast, Ohio Valley, Upper Midwest)

uh25_max.us_ov.png

Thoughts? Think it's possible?
 
06hrrr is really bad for northern Illinois with Multiple long-tracked supercells near or hitting the chicago metro area. I think spc should extend that moderate risk eastward to include the Chicago area. A very dangerous day ahead
 
I could see a scenario where the best chance for strong-violent tornadoes may be the area in between the two moderate risk areas - very good overlap of shear and instability with good confidence on a discrete mode - though with a big caveat of storms firing in the first place being a bit of an uncertainty. Otherwise, strong tornadoes seem possible in both moderate risk areas today, though dependent on storm mode.
 
Kind of interesting how it seems like the early opinions on this board (although also accounting for the fact that its membership is weighted toward Southerners, but SPC also made note of it with their "concerning" wording in both of yesterday's Day 2 outlooks) were that the southern (Mid-South/mid-lower MS Valley) target would be the more active/threatening, but the HRRR really hammered the northern target hard early on but didn't show much in the way of impressive UH tracks in the southern area. Now it has kind of reversed to come more into line with the thinking of the board/SPC, although Iowa/NW IL still should see action.

I may change my target to around near Bloomington, IL instead of heading west into Iowa. Still have a few more things to mull over.
 
CheeselandSkies said:
Kind of interesting how it seems like the early opinions on this board (although also accounting for the fact that its membership is weighted toward Southerners, but SPC also made note of it with their "concerning" wording in both of yesterday's Day 2 outlooks) were that the southern (Mid-South/mid-lower MS Valley) target would be the more active/threatening, but the HRRR really hammered the northern target hard early on but didn't show much in the way of impressive UH tracks in the southern area. Now it has kind of reversed to come more into line with the thinking of the board/SPC, although Iowa/NW IL still should see action.

I may change my target to around near Bloomington, IL instead of heading west into Iowa. Still have a few more things to mull over.
Click to expand...
The 6zhrrr was nasty for my area. Midsouth
 
Sounding off the 10z HRRR around Amory, MS.
 

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