TileDude
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Severe WX March 21-23 2022
- Thread starter Taylor Campbell
- Start date
NorthGaWeather
Member
JAN has a lot of reports that haven't been sent yet.
CheeselandSkies
Member
That couplet with the cell we've been watching, now approaching Shuqualak, looks pretty ominous. Consistent with the appearance of other storms that have produced strong tornadoes when scanned at that height in the 0.5 degree tilt. About to get munched by the line, though.
Equus
Member
Gotta imagine there's a lot of wind damage after 1645z that's not in yet, though we will probably underperform on the tornado aspect of the event for most of the MDT
bwalk
Member
Alabama concern: The Mississippi cells look to be on track to enter W. Alabama shortly. I'm am showing 72/65 for Livingston, Alabama. That's a ripe environment. I will say other readings in W. Alabama (Winfield, Tuscaloosa, etc) are showing lower dewpoints (62 & 61).
The Livingston area readings seem to be somewhat of an outlier but nevertheless - could be a problem area.
The Livingston area readings seem to be somewhat of an outlier but nevertheless - could be a problem area.
Bama Ravens
Member
Here is the discussion on that Meso Discussion:
Mesoscale Discussion 0311
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0256 PM CDT Tue Mar 22 2022
Areas affected...Western Alabama
Concerning...Tornado Watch 62...
Valid 221956Z - 222200Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 62 continues.
SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging wind gusts and QLCS tornadoes
will continue into western Alabama this afternoon. The threat will
generally be greater in west-central Alabama where moisture/buoyancy
is greater.
DISCUSSION...Storms within central/eastern Mississippi have largely
remained linear this afternoon. There are some discrete cells ahead
of the the primary line. The most substantial of these discrete
storms is moving northeast through Kemper County, MS and has
recently shown a TDS on KDGX radar. The overall expectation is for
these cells to be overtaken by the line in the next 60-90 minutes.
Going forward, wind damage and QLCS tornadoes are expected to be the
primary threats as convection moves into western Alabama. The
environment ahead of the convective line has been able to warm to
near 80 F in several places. However, moisture return in Alabama has
been much less than in Mississippi. Consequently, MLCAPE values have
remained from 300-400 J/kg in northern Alabama to 500-700 in
west-central Alabama. Due to the forward speed of the line, it is
uncertain how much further destabilization can occur through the
afternoon. In any event, some potential for damaging wind gusts and
QLCS tornadoes will exist given the strong low-level winds and
low-level hodograph turning observed in region VWPs.
CheeselandSkies
Member
Still may see discrete cells fire on the south end of things. Outflow/frontal intersection a potential trigger per SPC.
Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 312
Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
sak
Member
I'm not overly concerned about this event for Alabama. Seems to be underperforming and now the whole thing is rolling into a QLCS. Probably will get a few tornado warnings and maybe a couple EF-0/EF-1 tornadoes, but I doubt this will be a significant outbreak.
NorthGaWeather
Member
TDS east of West Point, MS.
Justin Hindman Hindy
Member
Intercepted shuqlak, mean wall cloud, green skies, no tornado
TornadoFan
Member
I actually saw that on his stream (https://www.severestudios.com/storm-chasers/freddy.mckinney.html)!
Justin Hindman Hindy
Member
I was right beside them and saw the same thing, no power flashes or damaged where it crossed
brianc33710
Member
By the time this hits I-65 I think we are talking about heavy rain & strong straight-line winds. Obviously embedded tornadoes can't be completely ruled out. But the dynamics, Bham still 76/58, just aren't there for discreet supercells this far east. Even Tuscaloosa, usually considerably more humid than Bham has a dewpoint of 61. I think SW winds would've given more conducive conditions for an outbreak here. But its still early in the severe season. Just cause AL doesnt get hammered here doesnt mean were safe thru May.
TornadoFan
Member
Some of the eastern MS storms are starting to light up with decent velocity couplets.
