Severe WX March 21-23 2022

[buckeye05]

New TOR warning in MS. Think this legit or just a noisy signature?

 

[bwalk]

It looks like that rotation may go right between Emelle & Livingston.

No, it didn't. Emelle took the hit. Hopefully, the rotation was very weak as it passed through town.

 

[buckeye05]

No CC drop yet.

 

[Justin Hindman Hindy]

Was in emelle when it crossed. Nothing

 

[OHWX97]

South of New Augusta, MS should be tornado warned. Really trying to produce.

 

[Equus]

Line is basically being forced to the north, just not much surface instability to work with as QLCS arrived super early; still looks volatile over S MS and LA (perhaps into SW AL) but hopefully line behaves a little

 

[cheestaysfly]

Will North West Alabama see much action this afternoon? So far it's just heavy rains and wind here in Florence. A fair bit of lightning too.

 

[bwalk]

Cells in Central Alabama out ahead of the main line of storms are becoming a little more well-defined & discrete compared to 30-45 minutes ago. But - looks like the instability values are just not there for them to eat & grow strong. But - you never know.

 

[Equus]

Severe threat ends once the line arrives, lightning and flooding will be an issue though

 

[Equus]

RAP is showing a corridor of 500-750jkg of surface CAPE up to Birmingham but without much forcing and iffy lapse rates it'd be hard to get things going over central AL; cells seem to be popping up and growing only as the stronger forcing with the line overtakes them

 

[buckeye05]

South of New Augusta, MS should be tornado warned. Really trying to produce.

Not seeing anything of note in that area

 

[OHWX97]

The cell NE of Gulfport, MS is one to watch closely. It’s all by itself unlike the plethora of cells to its north.

Not seeing anything of note in that area

I was looking at it from KMOB, but it’s a little less impressive now.

 

[NorthBamaWX]

 

[Justin Hindman Hindy]

Hrrr handled this well. Had the one storm to track out Columbus and had everything else messy with a strong line

 

[Tennie]

TOR for Waynesboro, MS:

070
WFUS54 KMOB 222207
TORMOB
ALC023-MSC153-222245-
/O.NEW.KMOB.TO.W.0023.220322T2207Z-220322T2245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
507 PM CDT Tue Mar 22 2022

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
West central Choctaw County in southwestern Alabama...
Northeastern Wayne County in southeastern Mississippi...

* Until 545 PM CDT.

* At 507 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 5 miles northwest of Clara, or 5 miles west of
Waynesboro, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Waynesboro around 515 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8821 3158 8869 3162 8881 3185 8871
3185 8863 3190 8847 3220 8844
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 211DEG 36KT 3165 8873

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

CGAL

 

[Chris3024]

watching the line south of double springs

 

[buckeye05]

Cell to the southwest of Lucedale, MS has the best potential for legit supercell tornado activity I’ve seen so far, but it doesn’t quite have enough LL rotation to quite do it, yet that is.

 

[UK_EF4]

Worth noting that a favourable environment for strong tornadoes still exists across S MS and AL. If some of those slightly more discrete showers and storms that some have mentioned can mature then there probably isn't a massive reason a strong tornado or two can't touch down.

 

[brianc33710]

At least to this point the SPC is/was right NOT to upgrade areas to a High Risk today. That might've been applicable Monday but not (so far at least) today. The dewpoint is 57, peaking for 1 hr at 58 at 3 pm.

 

[Equus]

Leading edge of higher reflectivity is over me now - absolutely calm wind with heavy rain and lightning. Just no surface instability this far NE to root the impressive presentation for any severe weather seems like. Dews only barely hit 60 here then dropped back to upper 50s. I will definitely take it, no me gusta wind damage and power outages