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Severe WX March 21-23 2022

Welp, looks like the non-linear part of this system is overperforming... in the WORST way possible. I think Pivotal Weather hit the nail on the head with their composite reflectivity run this morning which also still shows some cells forming ahead of the line in MS tomorrow. But unless something Bassfield or 4/27 tier happens tomorrow there isn't much that can top this...
 
Texas Division of Emergency Management is asking for the public to report storm property damages. Here is a link to the tweet they posted not too long ago where you are able to do that, if you are reading this thread and you were impacted:
 
Southern most tornadic supercell could eventually be an issue for College Station/Bryan if it holds together. Looks pretty impressive.
 

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 297

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov

DISCUSSION...A QLCS is maturing across northern Texas per latest
MRMS mosaic radar imagery. Meanwhile, at least 4 supercells with a
history of producing tornadoes are ongoing across central Texas.
Storms within both regimes are impinging on the western fringes of
the low-level jet and associated strong low-level shear, which is
likely supporting the relatively robust tornado production that has
been observed over the past few hours. A moist, buoyant
thermodynamic profile is accompanying the low-level jet per 23Z
mesoanalysis, with over 2000 J/kg MLCAPE residing ahead of both the
supercells and QLCS.

Damaging winds and isolated tornado potential should continue with
the QLCS through the remainder of the evening, including in areas
east of the ongoing watch (please see Mesoscale Discussion #0296 for
more details). Farther south, supercells are remaining discrete and
are continuing in a favorable CAPE/shear environment for continued
tornado production. It is possible that the Pacific front/dryline to
the immediate west may catch up to the storms. In this case, the
supercells may grow upscale into an MCS similar to what has happened
farther north. However, Warn-on-Forecast high-resolution ensemble
guidance suggests that supercells may remain discrete through 02Z.
The best corridor for tornadic supercells may be from Falls/Lee
County and points northeast, as storms farther to the south may be
struggling due to weaker flow in the 850-700 mb layer.
Click to expand...
 
From the latest SPC Outlook:

Hodographs in the area near and south of College Station late this
evening are long and curved suggesting a potential for strong
tornadoes. The tornado threat will also likely impact northeast
Texas and far northwest Louisiana late this evening into tonight. In
addition to the tornado threat, supercells will be accompanied by
severe winds and large hail. Hailstones of greater than 2 inches in
diameter will be possible this evening across parts of east-central
Texas.
 
It looks like the cell to its north is trying to get a foothold again and maybe that's why it's weakened for the moment.
 
New Tornado Watch for rest of East Texas, Northwest Louisiana and Southwest Arkansas until 3 AM. 60/50 Probabilities. Doesn't include Houston but does include the northern suburbs.
 
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