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I hate that roundabout. Nothing like cruising at 70 mph and bam a roundabout pops up out of nowhere..lol
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January 23-25th Winter Wx
- Thread starter UncleJuJu98
- Start date
lake.effect
Member
Equus
Member
As per Daryl Herzmann (IEM) that's the largest winter storm warning in the modern database by almost 400 counties; the most population inside a winter storm warning on the database as well
N4GK
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North Alabama is predicted to have an over an inch of rain, and not a bit of cold air to meet it. Unbelievable we got screwed again for snow. Funny how that warm nose picked us.
That looks like 10 entire states covered by the Winter Storm Warning there at least.
shrubber256
Member
Wouldn’t let your guard down… hi res models are inching south….
21ZHRRR is now showing 7 hours of unwanted moisture guests N of BMX starting around 3am tomorrow. Timing sucks - BMX will have been under freezing for a few hours already when it arrives. Not much to it so far, but slick spots possible. Our flat 500MB is slinging all this east a little quicker than expected. Too much of that and we'll have some real issues.
N4GK
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Well, let’s hear what you think it’s going to do if it’s not going to rain.just post this instead, we get it, you think its going to rain.....
sunny and 65
lake.effect
Member
lots of short-range models are all pumping 2+ inches of ice accumulation across parts of TX,MS and TN.
divergence from the globals, who have been more conservative.
any reason to believe the short range has a better handle on freezing rain? because if they're right, this could be very bad indeed.
divergence from the globals, who have been more conservative.
any reason to believe the short range has a better handle on freezing rain? because if they're right, this could be very bad indeed.
Short answer: yes, short-range models are usually better than globals on freezing rain. I'd love to tell you the opposite, but they should be better at it because of higher resolution. Caveat to that - only within short range, the 48 hour full runs of course have more error beyond 18.
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N4GK
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- Meridianville, Al.
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rbm1012
Member
Marshall County here and it seems like we always get screwed.
TVILLE96
Member
Central Alabama (B'ham) still in the clear for this event ?
Watch for slick spots in the morning if the moisture gets in early, that's about it for right now unless it all shifts colder than expected. I did notice HRRR had some flurries on the back side Monday morning early too. Otherwise - we are forecast to just barely dodge a freezing rain bullet, which I will take as a win any day.
Geno
Member
All of Alabama gets the warm nose more often than not.
lake.effect
Member
The ceiling of this event (at least for the ice storm) now appears to be the most likely outcome, with all short term models showing 1+ inches of ice over large swaths of the south, many showing 2+ inch swaths over MS/TN/GA and a few showing 3 inches of ice across those areas.
Archer6999
Member
I agree lower Alabama got screwed on snow, but coming from someone that lives in NE Georgia I would much rather be in your position. My disappointment for snow has turned into fear from how many trees could fall on my house from severe ice. Y'all got out better than us this way better than it appears we’re going to.