tennessee storm chaser
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Memphis to Nashville would be snowed In if euro verified
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January 23-25th Winter Wx
- Thread starter UncleJuJu98
- Start date
Flurry
Member
From Jason Simpson B’ham market: 
Friday Night - Sunday period
Friday Night - Sunday period
akt1985
Member
Could this be a generational winter storm for interior areas of the South? It’s been over 30 years since the Blizzard of ‘93 and 30 years before that the New Year’s Eve Winter Storm of 1963 that brought nearly a foot and a half of snow to north Alabama.
NorthGaWeather
Member
One thing to look at for the GA crowd is the strength of the CAD. Globals/Ensembles tend to underestimate the depth and strength of the CAD this far out. The Euro solution, just as an example, features the high in a good position for a stronger CAD. For our more impactful ice storms in north and east Georgia, you really need that reinforcing shot of cold/drier air to maintain temps in the mid/upper 20s and offset WAA/freezing processes. At this point, trust the ensembles this far out but the deterministic runs are fun to look at.
- Thread starter
- #25
Lots of sleet and then snow accumulations in central Alabama on the 12z GFS. 
That map depicts 10 inches of freezing precip over parts of west Georgia, and a foot at the ArkLaMiss triple-point. Crazy that it's even a possibility.
- Thread starter
- #27
I think we are looking at a potential for a once in a generation storm here in the south if everything goes accordingly lol. I would MUCH rather have the snow/sleet solution than ice.
warneagle
Member
Yeah, snow is cool, but ice can just... go all the way away. Granted, even significant snow will cripple us down here because we just don't handle winter storms very well.
- Thread starter
- #30
- Thread starter
- #31
The new 18z GFS litterally has it snowing/sleeting/freezing rain in parts of central/north Alabama for over 35 hours. That's just flat out insane.
Atomz
Member
I think it would be safe to say that the southeast will probably get some form of wintry precip this weekend.
There still is a discrepancy between most of the models (Euro depicting a horrid ice storm, GFS predicting an onslaught of snow). It'll be very interesting to see how this all plays out in the next few days.
There still is a discrepancy between most of the models (Euro depicting a horrid ice storm, GFS predicting an onslaught of snow). It'll be very interesting to see how this all plays out in the next few days.
Smokedevil
Member
It will change locations a half dozen times before the event.
33 hours of that over me either freezing rain or snow. Ugh.
- Thread starter
- #35
Archer6999
Member
I must admit, this one has me nervous in northeast Georgia. Snow is fine, but it’s been a while since we’ve had an ice storm and this one has the potential to be one of the worst ever for my area. I live in the woods and have over 50 trees in striking distance of my house. None that overhang, but ice weight pulls it all down. Root balls start giving way. 1 inch of ice on a 50 foot oak is an extra 100,000 pounds of weight and I’ve got 90 footers surrounding me. Ha!
It’ll at least be exciting watching the models this week, but please let us go easy on the ice.
It’ll at least be exciting watching the models this week, but please let us go easy on the ice.
18ZGFES - in general, a mess is very much still expected.
That Baron model is nuts. I can’t even picture what 12-18” of snow would look like
Psalm 148:8
Member
You trying to give me a heart attack??? Like another poster mentioned.. models definitely underestimate the strength of the CAD wedge! I remember reporting in to the FFC station that we had ice accumulation and therefore they extended their warning criteria southwards toward LaGrange! High the next day was to be in the 40’s.. with ice.. never made it past 32… no power 24 hours!