Hurricane Hurricane Milton

This is now the strongest Gulf hurricane since 2005.
 
I got up at 830AM this morning and it was 125\945, and 6 hours later, it is 175\911!

That's a 50 mph increase\ 34 MB decrease.
 
Here's the irony of Milton:
  • Michael was a GoM Cat 5 in October
  • Michael made landfall in Florida on October 9th or 10th
  • Both Milton and Michael were or are list 4 names.
  • Milton replaced Michael from 2018
 
We're getting close to some theoretical upper maximums of what is possible when you talk about breaking Wilma or even Rita's Gulf record. It's mostly taken for granted that 200mph is almost impossible to hit without conditions being perfect, and the lowest possible pressures sub 900 are the same way. I think Milton is going sub 900 though - it has those near perfect conditions to play with. With that said, I wouldn't be at all surprised to see it level off just under - there's just not much deeper to go at that point.

Absolute upper limit by physics of a hurricane is expected to be around 850mb and 215mph, but when we get to that level we are talking Carnot Efficiency and angular momentum conservation and things get really complex.
 
Poor tropicaltidbits - their server is going to cook off like a Russian artillery supply depot.
 
Blountwolf said:
Poor tropicaltidbits - their server is going to cook off like a Russian artillery supply depot.
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TropicalTidbits has Milton down to 909 mbs now all!!!
 
TornadoFan17 said:
I think HAFS might be overplaying it a bit. I expect sub 900 but 884 is a little extreme if you ask me.
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I hope you are right, I really do. Although at this point, it's kind of academic - this is likely to be one of the strongest hits to Florida ever recorded, regardless. The ramifications of this storm are going to be substantial and long term.
 
I am thinking this peaks at between 901-906mb in pressure. I feel like this could intensify a little further to 180 or 185 mph.
 
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