Looks like the official forecast calls for a Cat 3 at landfall near PCB. This might end up being an Opal part two (Opal was a little further west than the current forecast tho)
Agreed although I think Michael has started out as a larger storm than Opal was.
Unfortunately, I think a shift back west for the NHC track is very possible. How much further west will depend on several factors, but I think a number of the models were a bit too far east in recent runs.
I'd be surprised to see Michael end up west of Pensacola, but a hit somewhere around Navarre to Miramar is my current thinking.