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Archive Former Major Hurricane Jose

JayF

JayF

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A tropical wave along the west coast of Africa is moving westward
at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions could become more
conducive for some development over the weekend while the system
moves well south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.


New Development.png
 
two_atl_5d0.png
 
two_atl_5d1.png
 
Jose?

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands are gradually becoming better organized. Satellite data
indicate that this system is already producing winds near tropical
storm force. There is a strong likelihood that a tropical depression
or tropical storm will form within the next few days while the
disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 5
Location: 12.3°N 39.1°W
Moving: WNW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
 
Also predicted to be a major, but out to sea. Surely Irma has roughed up enough of the atmosphere to prevent Jose' from following along.
 
Models for TS Jose


storm_94.gif
 
Next update Jose should be a Hurricane.
 
Brent said:
240 hour Euro has Major Hurricane Jose threatening Miami 6 days after they get hit by Irma...
Click to expand...

My God ... I thought they said it was going to stay out to sea. Not to mention Irma has surely sucked up most of the energy in those waters ...
 
Jose should be a major by tomorrow according to the NHC
 
Euro 240 Run with Jose nearing Florida. Wow if this actually happens.

Jose European 240 Run.png
 
...JOSE NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 51.4W
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua and Barbuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Anguilla, Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba and St. Eustatius
 
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