Archive Former Major Hurricane Jose

[JayF]

A tropical wave along the west coast of Africa is moving westward
at about 15 mph. Environmental conditions could become more
conducive for some development over the weekend while the system
moves well south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

 

[JayF]

 

[JayF]

 

[Brent]

Jose?

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands are gradually becoming better organized. Satellite data
indicate that this system is already producing winds near tropical
storm force. There is a strong likelihood that a tropical depression
or tropical storm will form within the next few days while the
disturbance moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

 

[TuckerTerry]

Jose just named.

 

[WesL]

11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 5
Location: 12.3°N 39.1°W
Moving: WNW at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph

 

[TuckerTerry]

Also predicted to be a major, but out to sea. Surely Irma has roughed up enough of the atmosphere to prevent Jose' from following along.

 

[JayF]

Models for TS Jose

 

[JayF]

Next update Jose should be a Hurricane.

 

[TuckerTerry]

Let's pray he stays the course he's on.

 

[TuckerTerry]

Now a hurricane.

 

[Brent]

240 hour Euro has Major Hurricane Jose threatening Miami 6 days after they get hit by Irma...

 

[Ellen]

240 hour Euro has Major Hurricane Jose threatening Miami 6 days after they get hit by Irma...

I have been with you guys for a while and so glad you are back on! I noticed the loop too and was wondering how likely that this will happen.

 

[TuckerTerry]

240 hour Euro has Major Hurricane Jose threatening Miami 6 days after they get hit by Irma...

My God ... I thought they said it was going to stay out to sea. Not to mention Irma has surely sucked up most of the energy in those waters ...

 

[Jason Ledbetter]

240 hour Euro has Major Hurricane Jose threatening Miami 6 days after they get hit by Irma...

Holy crap...

 

[TuckerTerry]

Hurricane watches just went up for Antigua and Barbuda

 

[Mike S]

Jose should be a major by tomorrow according to the NHC

 

[JayF]

Euro 240 Run with Jose nearing Florida. Wow if this actually happens.

 

[KoD]

Euro 240 Run with Jose nearing Florida. Wow if this actually happens.

View attachment 413

Yeah really! GFS vs. Euro once again. If Jose loopty-loops and strikes the US mainland my jaw will be on the floor.

 

[JayF]

...JOSE NOW A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 51.4W
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Antigua and Barbuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Anguilla, Montserrat, St Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba and St. Eustatius