stormcentral
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It appears a series of disturbances along a stalled out boundary will bring a threat for widespread flooding across southeast.
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Flooding Flooding 2/17-21, 2019
- Thread starter stormcentral
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stormcentral
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Kory
Member
Yeah, this is a huge signal for a multi-day rain/flooding event. That trough hangs out west through the 15 day forecast period.
Kory
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If the 18z GFS is even close to correct, a flood event that will be talked about for a while.
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Insanely amped precipitation totals.
What's the euro say?
Still a lot of rain, but thankfully not what the 18z GFS showed. It's more in line with the 12z GFS/GEM
https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/alabama/acc-total-precipitation/20190222-0000z.html
rolltide_130
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I really am not a fan of El Ninos....
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Yep Typical High School Soccer Season. Full of Rain LOL
Bamamuscle
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Possible weather days for flooding? Has it ever happened in the TN Valley of Alabama?
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NorthGaWeather
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There are going to be some crazy rainfall totals across North AL, North GA and Southern TN over the next 7 days.
Kory
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It is crazy how anchored the trough remains out west through 2 weeks. This is a precursor to some major river flooding (sort of like 2011 with the record Mississippi River floods).
tennessee storm chaser
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Wonder if this going to lead to eventually severe wx threats down the road bit later... 2011. Interesting
MikeAthensAl
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March 1973 had significant flooding in Huntsville. https://www.weather.gov/hun/hunsurold_march1973flood
skelly
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I think it would heavily depend on local conditions and timing of the heavy rainfall. Or if Grandma K declares state of emergency.
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Finally found some road names for reference:
I thought this was near Bob Wallace but wasn't sure
Uncle Nasty
Member
Planning on a lot of rain next week in Chattanooga. Local mets have totals ranging from 3"-12". On average they are calling for 4" locally but emphasise some models are spitting out insane amounts of rain totalling up to a foot. I have a bad feeling there will be major flooding in areas of the valley with mud and rock slides on the local mountain roads [emoji44]
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akt1985
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What’s taking so long for a flash flood watch to be issued for north Alabama?
Bama Ravens
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Received 1.70" of rain today where I am north of Birmingham. Was supposed to get about a half inch.
Unless the QPF projections for the week take a dive, flooding is going to be significant issue north of I-20 in Alabama.
Unless the QPF projections for the week take a dive, flooding is going to be significant issue north of I-20 in Alabama.
Kory
Member
A bit of good news is it seems mesoscale guidance seems to be tempering QPF through early Wednesday. Nothing outrageous but a widespread 2-3" which I think most places can handle if it spread out over a day or two.
rolltide_130
Member
That's good news from a flooding threat but that may be yet another major L for HUN and Huntsville broadcast mets who are still dealing with blows to their credibility from the public after the snow fiasco a few weeks ago. That worries me.