ashtonlemleywx
Member
Got my GoPro and drone batteries charged. I'll be chasing MS Delta this afternoon.
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Severe WX February 8th - 12th deep south severe threat.
- Thread starter UncleJuJu98
- Start date
- Thread starter
- #122
Good luck,stay safe! Could be a strong one or two
Timhsv
Member
Looks like we were on it JPWX....Upgrade that is.
Timhsv
Member
Near Tupleo, MS. at 00Z. Pretty impressive wind profile, especially in the 0-1KM level, with ML at 1587 J/kg. Gotta watch this tonight early.
- Thread starter
- #125
3 cape is around 250 good grief that's a spectacle, probably be some amazing low level clouds.
Near Tupleo, MS. at 00Z. Pretty impressive wind profile, especially in the 0-1KM level, with ML at 1587 J/kg. Gotta watch this tonight early.
That sounding may be contaminated though the green line is out of the sounding on the left
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CheeselandSkies
Member
Multiple discussions already out from SPC:
Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 131
Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 132
Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.
www.spc.noaa.gov
CheeselandSkies
Member
Reading over those mesoscale discussions and the convective outlooks from SPC, it sounds like this is another one of those setups that will be kind of slow to come together, since the ingredients are all still in different places. We might have a few hours of monitoring non-severe convection in a tornado watch wondering when the heck it's going to intensify. Sometimes these setups never do actually come together, the ingredients all just kind of miss each other and the storms struggle all day and then fizzle out when the sun sets. Other times, the LLJ kicks in, the hodographs enlarge and/or the moisture gets pulled in, or the stronger dynamics arrive, and BOOM, something significant happens.
- Thread starter
- #128
Something I'd watch for is if these cells in south missippi that'll turn into the storms to watch later, go mainly multicell or supercell it seems bulk shear is right on the fence, could make it a banger or much less so.
CheeselandSkies
Member
Several reports of flash flooding across eastern Oklahoma into Arkansas, referencing abandoned vehicles and water rescues.
Gavintheweather_Offical
Member
Can confirm creek flooding in Central Arkansas.
- Thread starter
- #131
cincywx
Member
JPWX
Member
Sun is shining here now in Smithville, MS.
- Thread starter
- #134
What's the probs?
60/40
xJownage
Member
complete mess, pretty much what i thought would happen. Keep an eye out for anything further west that has more spacing, but anything that starts to root is going to immediately go through cell mergers.
- Thread starter
- #137
Lol sounds like a typical southern severe threat. Is the cell mergers due to lack of higher bulk shear and almost a non existent cap?
- Moderator
- #138
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xJownage
Member
non existent capping inversion + no eml + plenty of WAA + synoptic forcing = high volume of general convection.
- Thread starter
- #140
Cell near Greensburg Louisiana needs to be watched