Here in Lawrence county we got hit pretty hard my power is currently out
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I've been meaning to post this, and keep forgetting. Back on 11/19, Brian Peters posted this in his blog post from the 33/40 weather blog. I don't know how to read models, so can anybody let us know if this pattern is still showing up? Thanks so much!!
"Looking further into the future, the pattern for voodoo country stays fairly active. The GFS is pumping up a nice ridge over the eastern US around the 29th of November which should spell some really warm temperatures for late November. I dare say we might see values reaching the lower 70s. A short wave in Canada and the Great Lakes will dampen the ridge somewhat around the 2nd of December. But the look of the upper air pattern is rather scary for the 4th of December with a pattern that strongly suggests the potential for a significant round of severe weather. This is voodoo country, so we’re not making a specific forecast right now. I’m just saying that if this pattern verifies, it is definitely suggestive of big round of severe weather. We’ll continue to watch this, but we know this far out in voodoo country, changes will occur and the whole feature may be gone in the next model run."
Well, he did clarify that it was in "voodoo land," but a lot of non-weather geeks read this blog....That's a rather bold claim by him considering how bad models have been.. and this is 300+ hours out... Not really sure what he's getting at here.
Now I'm not saying that we WON'T get any severe weather the month of December, and as the atmosphere continues to respond to the developing Nina the overall pattern could become more conductive for severe, but calling for a significant threat the first week when we're 14 days out is a pretty big stretch..