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Early December Surprise Winter Storm

With this much model inconsistency I can't imagine any forecast is made with confidence right now. Certainly this is a wait and see situation.
Aren't ground temperatures down in Georgia still pretty warm?
 
TuckerTerry said:
I'm so confused. One local Met stating that the models have just about gotten rid of any chance of anything at all in Georgia ....yet another local stating the swath through ATL is up to 1/2" or so.

Some saying GFS is too glitchy as of late to put any trust into.

What the heck gives ... lol
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Do yourself a favor and ignore all the Atlanta TV mets.
 
KoD said:
With this much model inconsistency I can't imagine any forecast is made with confidence right now. Certainly this is a wait and see situation.
Aren't ground temperatures down in Georgia still pretty warm?
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Warm, yes, but the next couple nights below freezing will help the mountains. Ground temps south of the mountains in GA are never fantastic, even in January/February. Certainly better than now but always a concern.
 
TuckerTerry said:
I'm so confused. One local Met stating that the models have just about gotten rid of any chance of anything at all in Georgia ....yet another local stating the swath through ATL is up to 1/2" or so.

Some saying GFS is too glitchy as of late to put any trust into.

What the heck gives ... lol
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This is winter in the south. Snow storms are like mirages here.... we see one , get excited and start running for it only to get there and it has disappeared.
 
wx models are always like this for Atlanta.

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I think in my neck of the woods, we'll get a pretty show but no accumulation!!! I can't wait to watch it fall!!


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It's gonna be a close call for the I-20/59 corridor in West and Central AL. It's going to be a sharp cut off. Nothing to flurries to accumulating snow all within 10-20 miles. Where that sets up will be key. I don't think we get much more than a couple flurries in Tuscaloosa proper, myself...but we'll see.
 
Kory said:
It's gonna be a close call for the I-20/59 corridor in West and Central AL. It's going to be a sharp cut off. Nothing to flurries to accumulating snow all within 10-20 miles. Where that sets up will be key. I don't think we get much more than a couple flurries in Tuscaloosa proper, myself...but we'll see.
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Never underestimate that NW trend. 24 hours ago every model had me with nothing. Now most show a few inches. Granted I'm in a very climo-favored location but still

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Tyler Penland said:
Never underestimate that NW trend. 24 hours ago every model had me with nothing. Now most show a few inches. Granted I'm in a very climo-favored location but still

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Sure seems that way with the latest mesoscale guidance. Has accumulating snow pushing further NW.
 
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