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Severe WX December 31, 2021 - January 1, 2022 Severe Threat

Watch graphic. 60/40 TOR probs.

 
Temp is 76 with a dp of 69. Crazy for January 1st.
It is partly sunny and very moist in the ATL metro. The clouds are whizzing by overhead.
 
I thought we would be pretty much rain-free until later this afternoon. There's already rain and storms forming in North AL. Is that a good or bad thing?
BMX was saying it might inhibit afternoon activity. Want to say that might not be as true as one might be led to believe but I'm definitely not qualified to say much authoritatively on that.
 
SPC issued an MD; WW likely for AR, MS, LA.

 
Some of those showers over Mississippi are starting to have a look to them.
 
They really need to extend that ENH risk further south, thermos are ahead of schedule in most cases and we're seeing secondary surface low development in Arkansas and the Arklatex, which is going to augment already strong wind fields. This could be a serious event about to unfold given the amount of pre-frontal confluence bands over LA/MS right now.
 
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