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The ongoing complex of storm across MS and what appears to be a boundary sinking south across N AL will play a huge role in placement of potential severe later today. Could very well cut out a large portion of the currently outlooked area…may need adjustments SE.
If the meso low pressure does indeed follow the path on the HRRR (which is seemingly handling the current convection well) I believe a good portion N MS/Southern TN will stay in the rain cooled atmosphere…perhaps even the Shoals. A lot hinges on how this complex of rain reinforces the stable airmass behind a boundary in NE MS and N AL. This feels like a Franklin/Lamar County ENE to near Huntsville and south sort of deal.Can you explain the end of your post to a weather noob like me? By "cut out a large portion" do you mean the weather conditions could get better or worse there? I'm in the enhanced area so naturally I'm hoping it won't get so bad later.
Thank you! I'm in the Shoals so I'm hoping for the best outcome today.If the meso low pressure does indeed follow the path on the HRRR (which is seemingly handling the current convection well) I believe a good portion N MS/Southern TN will stay in the rain cooled atmosphere…perhaps even the Shoals. A lot hinges on how this complex of rain reinforces the stable airmass behind a boundary in NE MS and N AL. This feels like a Franklin/Lamar County ENE to near Huntsville and south sort of deal.
The ongoing complex of storm across MS and what appears to be a boundary sinking south across N AL will play a huge role in placement of potential severe later today. Could very well cut out a large portion of the currently outlooked area…may need adjustments SE.
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