If Notre Dame drops a game, that will open the door for POTENTIALLY two SEC teams. However likely that is, I can't tell you.We have a lot of good teams playing fundamental football but I don't know about elite.
Right now, Clemson winning the ACC and winner of the SEC seem like locks. ND drops one, they're out (watch out for Northwestern they're playing good ball as of late). Pac 12 is out. Big 10...maybe Michigan..no way in hell OSU gets in even if they win? Big 12 still needs some sorting out. The last 2 spots in the playoff are fully up for grabs...in my opinion.
I'm hoping Ohio State gets fully exposed like the frauds they are in November because just the Purdue loss may be enough to keep them afloat, but I've been through this cycle enough to know they could very well drunkenly stumble their way into the Big 10 title and the playoff picture in December. If MSU, Michigan, or even better Nebraska can beat them (And I don't think that's impossible.. Nebraska has finally found their identity as a team), that would be wonderful.
In the ideal scenario, Notre Dame loses a game or two, whoever represents the Big Ten west wins the conference, and nobody from the Big 12 makes it out with less than two losses.
I'd be SHOCKED if we lost before the playoffs but anything is possible, but as of now I think its us, Clemson, Notre Dame, and maybe Oklahoma or Michigan.
I will say Clemson looks like they have the tools to go blow for blow with us. That freshman QB is coming into his own and they have an elite defense and running game.. they frankly look like how we would have looked last year if we inserted Tua into the lineup in October when it became apparent he was the better QB.
Michigan could be a threat as well.. Oklahoma would have to hope and pray our defense just becomes incompetent and Georgia has revenge on their minds and a coach who knows how to beat us and almost did.