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Severe WX April 7 - 9, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

Definitely looks to be cycling, at a good time. Obviously NE Arkansas can use some supercell-cycling-near-a-populated-area GOOD luck.
 
So this system...it looks to calm down correct? I live outside of Chattanooga (Dunlap) up on the mountain. I sure don't need a repeat of Cookeville... here.
 
Liberty4dayz said:
So this system...it looks to calm down correct? I live outside of Chattanooga (Dunlap) up on the mountain. I sure don't need a repeat of Cookeville... here.
Click to expand...

There won't be anything like that out that way tonight. This isn't the same type of environment that produced Cookeville.

This weekend is the one to worry about with regards to that..
 
Wow. Just a little hail east of Cincinnati...
1586400296014.png
 
Big time QLCS outbreak around Cincinnati. TDS just popping up randomly all along the line. Maybe some debris ejection south of Fayetteville. Was counting half a dozen couplets along the line at one point

Screenshot_20200408-220118.png
 
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Counted three separate tornadoes on the ground with that segment of the line. Southern one looks like it may have struck the southern part of Fayetteville, OH.
 
Bookend vortex forming near Lynchburg, Ohio. Wouldn’t be surprised if that spins up another tornado.
 
Another debris signature near Hillsboro, OH. Nice bookend vortex.
 

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About to get some of our first severe weather of the spring here on the east coast. Always fun when the watch population is 36.5 million. There are some warnings north of us in Maryland but nothing here yet.

 
Harrisburg, AR tornado has been rated EF2. I don’t agree with that at all. It leveled frame homes. I don’t care how bad the construction was, at least go with marginal EF3. It’s blatant misuse of the EF scale by MEG, like usual from them.
 
Probably a topic more for the rating debates thread but there is certainly a worrying trend of capping leveled houses at EF2 for some reason. Construction quality is important but there's a point where it just seems excessive to knock off that much in the rating unless it's literally unattached to the foundation. Knowing MEG's conservatism in ratings and warnings (remember the long track strong tornado that wasn't TOR'd in their CWA on 3/2?) it's pretty amazing Smithville got tagged EF5 so fast on 4/27.
 
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Yeah. The general consensus as long as I can remember has been to rate leveled or slabbed site-built homes no lower than EF3, even if frail or unanchored. I’ve noticed that certain WFOs such as Memphis and Springfield, have been pushing it all the way down to EF2 as of late. It sets a bad precedent, and starts an unintentional “how low can you go” contest among other WFOs. There NEEDS to be more clear guidelines for dealing with structural deficiencies, and more consistency among WFOs. This is not ok.

Also, following a damaging tornado event, I should not be able to look at the responsible WFO before the survey and be able to say “yup, this is gonna be a lowballed survey” or “Oh good, these guys are usually pretty objective. This should be a reasonable survey”. Yet I can. Consistently.
 
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