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Severe WX April 3rd-5th, 2023 (South, Southeast, Ohio Valley)

JPWX

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00z Euro. Yep that 983mb low pressure would certainly bring a threat combined with widespread dewpoints in the mid/upper 60s.
 

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atrainguy

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If this verifies, where will this event be taking place? I'm still not great at reading these maps and translating them to the actual storm locations.
 

Penitentes

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This morning's SPC extended morning outlook has the clues. Emphasis mine.

...Days 7-8/Mon-Tue...

Severe potential could once again increase early next week across
parts of the Arklatex into the Mid/Lower MS and TN Valley vicinity.
Another large-scale upper trough is expected to develop eastward
across the western U.S. on Monday before moving into the central
U.S. on Tuesday. However, guidance is vastly different in the timing
of this system and how far north or south the trough will be
located. While severe potential will likely accompany this system
and probabilities will likely be needed in later outlooks
,
confidence in where the greatest threat will occur is low at this
time.
 

Timhsv

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ehi03.us_ov.png

Just Wow if it confirms
 

andyhb

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12z GEFS is pretty incredible for this timeframe. There is a very high ceiling on this period if we get troughs ejecting coherently.
 

JBishopwx

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where is ole Fred? I haven't seen him around here in quite a while
They have been busy getting ready moved to the new studios for Tennessee Valley Weather.
 

Taylor Campbell

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The new EURO has a less favorable trough ejection.

The consistency is not there yet for the more favorable ejection. However, should it occur there does not appear to be a shortage of impressive instability.
 
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