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Severe WX April 29-May 2nd, 2022 Severe Weather Threat

Sawmaster said:
Thanks for the thoughts :) It seemed a bit much to me but I can go into much greater details on the subject although that might bore most people to death .If you have any questions I'll answer them as best I can- just let me know if (or when?) I get too verbose please!

Phil
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I want an EF4 rating but of NWS Wichita is a lowballing NWS office.
 
I want an accurate rating, whatever it may end up being. If they follow the DI's and use some common sense then that's what we'll get.

Regardless of that it was a particularly nasty rascal for those in it's path- glad it wasn't bigger but I'm worried about Monday for them...

Phil
 
Sawmaster said:
I want an accurate rating, whatever it may end up being. If they follow the DI's and use some common sense then that's what we'll get.

Regardless of that it was a particularly nasty rascal for those in it's path- glad it wasn't bigger but I'm worried about Monday for them...

Phil
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Yeah, Monday looks rather potent on some of the models. Looks like the worst of it will be in Oklahoma though, so hopefully Kansas gets to ride this one out.
 
So the house that was destroyed by the Eskridge, KS tornado appears to have been a warehouse type home, which is essentially a pole barn that has been converted into a residence. Looks like it was totally destroyed, but I really doubt that a structure like this would hold up as well as a typical house, especially given the lack of interior walls.
eskridge1.PNGeskridge2.PNG
 
Anywhere from 165-175 looks good for Andover, the vegetation damage would probably support a low end violent tornado contextually if they wanted to go with that but with the slabbed homes being in a closely packed subdivision perhaps anchoring isn't exceptional.
 
it seems that with 165 mph EF3+ tornadoes they rarely downgrade if ever and often upgrade. both Winterset and black creek were 165 mph EF3+ tornadoes before being upgraded.
 
buckeye05 said:
So the house that was destroyed by the Eskridge, KS tornado appears to have been a warehouse type home, which is essentially a pole barn that has been converted into a residence. Looks like it was totally destroyed, but I really doubt that a structure like this would hold up as well as a typical house, especially given the lack of interior walls.

Agreed, rather flimsy against a tornado. Can't recall if there's a specific category for these but would rate very low. I need to brush-up on the survey stuff again, been a year since I last read it and my mind ain't what it used to be for remembering :rolleyes:
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Phil
 
SouthFLwx said:
Yeah, Monday looks rather potent on some of the models. Looks like the worst of it will be in Oklahoma though, so hopefully Kansas gets to ride this one out.
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Kansas is not going to ride this threat out on Monday. There’s been utterly disturbing consistency on long and short term modeling for very powerful and likely tornadic storms in the southern region of KS. This is a very concerning situation for the areas that were hardest hit Friday.
 
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Latest info on the students who died in the crash is that they were returning from a chase, so more of a traffic accident than being directly chase-related. A sad loss regardless but that may fend off some of the commentary about chasers being a danger on the roads. Still EF-3 but they discovered the path was longer than initially thought.

Phil
 
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