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Severe WX April 11th-13th, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

I just don't understand how the SPC can sit there and say there's uncertainty in the tornado threat. We're watching multiple supercells become more organized and are dropping tornadoes as we speak.

All short term rapid refresh guidance continues to point to an outbreak. I just DON'T GET IT.

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Might have some warm sector initiation around Jackson MS, worth watching
 
Lightning and 39kft tops, that's gonna be the place to watch here in a bit
 
Already taking on classic supercellular structure. Today will be a day where they pop up and start spinning in 15 minutes.
Yeah not surprising given the crazy shear there. Basically 400+ ESRH across the board in central MS. If those can stay discrete they're going to be trouble.
 
Major expansion of the ENH area on the new Day 2. Definitely don't want to sleep on the tornado risk in the Carolinas tomorrow.
 
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