Tomcats Forever!
Member
What am I missing there why those have TOR instead of PDS TOR as the hazard type?
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Severe WX April 11-14th, 2022 Severe Weather Threat
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
The "Possible Hazard Type" window uses a set of criteria to identify, well, possible hazards. Here's a pic from the official paper about SHARPpy:
Note that, if certain parameters don't meet/exceed all listed criteria for a given hazard type, it'll move on to determine if they meet the next type on the list.
atrainguy
Member
- Moderator
- #244
Returns are popping up in this region now.
- Moderator
- #245
Mesoanalysis shows an amazing atmospheric playing field ready to go to town.
bwalk
Member
I agree. I almost want to frame that one hodo you posted. I do notice the critical angle is 70 vs. the more desired 90-degrees neighborhood. But the shape of this hodo & accompanying wind profiles it represents is classic.
TornadoFan
Member
Wonder why the tornado watch only covers a small part of the MDT risk area.
Bevo
Member
Things starting to pop off down here in Dallas.
Hopefully any rotation stays elevated...
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60/40 probabilities, so I assume that watch is for the initial storms before they reach peak intensity, or covers the area where more linear storm development is expected.
Brice Wood
Member
Is there a real chance for them to issue a PDS watch for the rest of the MDT area?
The Southern end of this complex in Texas is not really producing. It's a shame because we could use the rain.
TornadoFan
Member
Bevo
Member
Cell north of Killeen just went tornado warned.
Shakespeare 2016
Member
I am seeing a lot of 67F-73F temps and dews of 58F to 63F throughout quite a bit of Iowa.
- Moderator
- #256
In Spencer, IA in the northwest part of the state the temperature is 61 degrees and in the southwest part of the state in Logan, IA the temperature is 91 degrees.
- Moderator
- #257
Bleh, looks like we are going to have poor radar coverage for these storms.
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Speaking of PDS watches and warnings, the GFS seems to agree with the HRRR about the evolution of a single monster supercell in central IA and this is what its forecasted sounding has to say...
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