Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[Kds86z]

She’s warned..

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Some SLC going on here maybe? Not sure. TOR still valid for 6 minutes.

Edit: New warning just issued.
View attachment 38529

Ryan hall has a good view on that storm. He will catch it if it produces

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

So LCL heights get lower as the temp and dew get closer together. Is that what some of you were saying?

 

[Tennie]

So LCL heights get lower as the temp and dew get closer together. Is that what some of you were saying?

For the most part, yes.

 

[Jpgood97]

The Star City storm in Arkansas looks like it could produce at any moment. Cell near the MS/AL state line near tishomingo is tightening up too

 

[Tanner]

When are we expecting activity to pick up again?

 

[ColdFront]

When are we expecting activity to pick up again?

We may see some tornados once the temps drop a little. I’m not sure though

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Suddenly down to 1 tornado warning and it's the one now northeast of Jackson, TN.

 

[cg9450]

When are we expecting activity to pick up again?

I'd give it about an hour.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

Just anecdotally, about 10-12 degree spreads, maybe 15 max seems ideal to get tornadoes that you can actually see. IIRC that's what we had on days like 3/31/23 and 4/26/24. Less than 10 degrees and you start getting grungy, ground-scraping cloud bases.

800m or below has always been my measuring stick for a very favorable LCL height. You can have tornadoes with higher LCLs.

BMX also mentioned this a decade ago in their release. https://www.weather.gov/bmx/research_falsealarms

I won't be able to follow the event much longer but you all have a blast tonight. I'm sure there will be weeping and gnashing of teeth one way or the other.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

79.0°F/69.0°F in Memphis.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

This little guy in Arkansas could be our next player...

 

[snostorm21]

That Star City cell is about to produce a tornado. Velocities tightening up and a hook developing. Still not warned.

 

[NorthGaWeather]

The temperature is 70.0°F and the dewpoint is 67.0°F in Jackson, TN.

Yeah, low/mid 70s showing up on a lot of sites after that initial convection passed.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Not sure if it's side lobe contamination or the supercell picking up velocity on the Meso, but it's picking up in Jackson TN

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

I'd give it about an hour.

Yeah, I was thinking that too. I remember the afternoon of April 26, 1991 when I was a kid and the clouds were still pretty high in the sky. As it became late afternoon into the early evening clouds had significantly lowered and the temp/dew were pretty close together.

 

[OHWX97]

The cell near Shreveport, LA is also looking quite impressive.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Storm southeast of St Louis May need a tornado warning soon.

 

[Justin Hindman]

I hope this isn’t gonna turn into a nocturnal event, storms having trouble getting a good rotation and holding

 

[snostorm21]

That TN supercell is kinda in a radar hole right now. Cannot tell what it is trying to do.