Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[AJS]

I was gone for a couple of hours and boy I missed a lot.

 

[Kds86z]

I was gone for a couple of hours and boy I missed a lot.

Welcome back bro @AJS !

 

[Smokedevil]

Look at that hook on the storm near Marion Arkansas.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

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That ain't good.

Yeah that's quite the site to start a outbreak. My gosh.

 

[Kds86z]

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That ain't good.

Well that’s a hook alright ..

 

[AJS]

That storm that’s approaching in the direction of the St. Louis could be a troublemaker.

 

[Ozonelayer]

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That ain't good.

That seems quite concerning.

 

[Maxis_s]

18z ACARS at Memphis. 200 3CAPE!!!

 

[klouzek7079]

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That ain't good.

Well, at least most of that is forest and Potosi is the biggest town in the area.

 

[Ozonelayer]

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18z ACARS at Memphis. 200 3CAPE!!!

Excuse me, what!?

 

[wx_guy]

The RAP on the SPC's mesoanalysis site shows the discrete monster cells around Memphis having a heyday the next 2-4 hours before congealing into a potent line. Let's see.

 

[Clancy]

Well.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[wx_guy]

View attachment 38483
18z ACARS at Memphis. 200 3CAPE!!!

The 3CAPE factor that goes into the VTP formula is normalized by 50 (divided by 50), so a 3CAPE of 4 quadruples the STP essentially. Wild.

 

[Maxis_s]

Well.
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Remember when everyone said there was no forcing for OWS development?

 

[Kds86z]

Well.
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OWS…

 

[tornado examiner]

Well.
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That’s too much discrete convection. Those are gonna fight and eat eachother shouldn’t they?

 

[Smokedevil]

Several storms starting to fire in NE ms now. Gonna be a long evening.

 

[Justin Hindman]

That’s too much discrete convection. Those are gonna fight and eat eachother shouldn’t they?

That's what i was thinking. Unless a southern one get's dominate.

 

[DanLarsen34]

Really think we’re about to see the nudger theory in action with this one.