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2025 Global Tropical Cyclone Season Discussion

Invest 98W is now a high chance JTWC Invest with a TCFA.
IMG_7619.gif
WTPN21 PGTW 230900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 98W)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5N 143.5E TO 14.1N 146.7E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 230600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.9N 145.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 33
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.5N 148.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 145.0E, APPROXIMATELY
34 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE (MSI) IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION, AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FROM THE
SOUTHERN QUADRANT WRAPPING AROUND THE LLCC NEAR GUAM. ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VWS
(VERTICAL WIND SHEAR), WARM (30-31 C) SST (SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE) AND
GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON STEADY
DEVELOPMENT AND A NORTHWESTERN TRACK STEERING TOWARDS JAPAN WITHIN A 24-
36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO
23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
240900Z.

//
NNNN
 
We are still watching what was Invest 93L, who has cycled back to its original starting position and it is expected to get into the Gulf again here soon. Like last time, if it can stay far enough offshore, it may develop more than if it hugged the coast like before. If this is invest designated, it will be 95L this time around rather than the old 93L.


Recon is expected to investigate this area tomorrow if necessary:
————————————————————
000
NOUS42 KNHC 231506
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1105 AM EDT WED 23 JULY 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z JULY 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-053

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (NORTHERN GULF OF AMERICA)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
A. 24/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01DDA INVEST
C. 24/1700Z
D. 27.0N 89.0W
E. 24/1730Z TO 24/2230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. LOW LEVEL INVEST
H. WRA ACTIVATION

FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
A. 25/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0204A CYCLONE
C. 25/1030Z
D. 28.0N 92.0W
E. 25/1100Z TO 25/1730Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS A THREAT.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

$$
SEF/WJM

NNNN
 
Welcome to round 2 of the GFS picking up on the possibility of more wintertime TC action in the Southern Indian Ocean:

IMG_7706.png
IMG_7707.png
These are from the 12Z run. Here is 06Z and 00Z:
IMG_7710.png
IMG_7711.png

And a few frames from the 00Z run:
IMG_7712.png

IMG_7713.png
Just something to watch for. It might not even happen, but it’s still worth watching for because interesting.
 
Invest 98W is now a high chance JTWC Invest with a TCFA.
View attachment 45349
WTPN21 PGTW 230900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 98W)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5N 143.5E TO 14.1N 146.7E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 230600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.9N 145.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 33
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.5N 148.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 145.0E, APPROXIMATELY
34 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE (MSI) IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION, AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FROM THE
SOUTHERN QUADRANT WRAPPING AROUND THE LLCC NEAR GUAM. ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VWS
(VERTICAL WIND SHEAR), WARM (30-31 C) SST (SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE) AND
GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON STEADY
DEVELOPMENT AND A NORTHWESTERN TRACK STEERING TOWARDS JAPAN WITHIN A 24-
36 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO
23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
240900Z.

//
NNNN
98W has been upgraded to Tropical Depression 12W, with a first warning forecast peak of 60 kts (just shy of typhoon status)
IMG_7734.gif

Tropical Depression 12W first Warning
———————————————————

WTPN31 PGTW 232100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230751JUL25//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING NR 001
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 13.2N 144.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N 144.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 14.5N 143.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 15.8N 143.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 16.9N 143.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 18.0N 143.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 20.8N 144.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 24.5N 144.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 27.5N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 13.5N 144.0E.
23JUL25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
32 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 231800Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
240300Z, 240900Z, 241500Z AND 242100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W (FRANCISCO) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (CO-MAY) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 230900).//
NNNN
 
So we now have 3 concurrently active storms in the Western Pacific (Francisco, Co-May and newly formed 12W)

Speaking of Co-May: the 18Z best track is up to 60 kts and it definitely seems highly likely that it will achieve typhoon status prior to landfall in the northwestern Philippines in about 12-24 hours.
 
The NHC and the CPHC have noted an AoI that is expected to develop into a disturbance in a few days. The reason the Central Pacific Hurricane Center has in correlation with the National Hurricane Center noted this disturbance is because it is centered from roughly 145*W to 135*W, and the Central Pacific begins at 140*W and ends at the International Dateline (180*W)

The wording is the same from both sides, but I’ll show it from both:

National Hurricane Center side:
View attachment 45331


Central Pacific Hurricane Center side:
View attachment 45332
All of the models have a circulation on the west side of 140*W, which is inside the eastern region of the Central Pacific basin. Some models even show the possibility that two circulations could spin up in 5 days time (July 28th)

Here’s the GFS:
IMG_7818.png


The EURO-AI:
IMG_7813.png

The ICON:
IMG_7817.png

The CMC (the Canadian model):

IMG_7816.png

The EURO
IMG_7811.png


The EURO, the EURO-AI and the GEM (CMC a.k.a the Canadian model) all have two circulations around 140*W.

Should this disturbance (which by the way is now up to 0/30) form in the Central Pacific, the next name there is Iona. And should a second circulation form up at the same time and be name worthy, the following name after Iona is Keli.
 
Co-May is now a 70 kt typhoon, and it is expected to peak at 85 kts (equivalent to a Category 2 in the Atlantic) at landfall in the northwestern Philippines. After that it is expected to quickly move northward and dissapate.
 
12W became Tropical Storm Krosa according to JMA
T2509(Krosa)
Issued at 2025/07/24 07:20 UTC
Analysis at 07/24 06 UTC
Grade TS
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N14°30′ (14.5°)
E143°40′ (143.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW Slow
Central pressure 1002 hPa
Maximum wind speed 18 m/s (35 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25 m/s (50 kt)
Radius of 30-kt wind area S280 km (150 NM)
N165 km (90 NM)
(it was Tropical Depression Krosa by the JTWC, which analyzied the intensity at 12Z as 30kts) 18Z says 35 kts, so it is Tropical Storm Krosa by the JTWC now as well.

But Krosa has to be the wonkiest tropical storm I’ve ever seen:
IMG_8659.jpeg
Just look at it!
 

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The NHC/CPHC AoI is up to 0/40 now. There is the possibility that according to the NHC and CPHC that a tropical depression could form in the next week or so. The next name in the Central Pacific is Iona.
 
Time for a blast from the past! These following screenshots are all from 2022, the oldest screenshots I have, and they are from my early days of tracking tropical cyclones.

@Kds86z @KakashiHatake2000

IMG_8740.jpeg
This first one is from the early stages of Hurricane Ian. You can see there that had recently become a Category 1. In the bottom right corner you can see the invest track and cone of what later became the short-lived Tropical Depression Eleven.


IMG_8741.jpegThe main feature in this one is Super Typhoon Noru, and the other storm is Typhoon Kulap.

IMG_8742.jpeg
Again, Noru and Kulap

IMG_8743.jpeg
Several storms appear in this one: on the left is the remnants of what had been Tropical Storm Newton, and if you look just below the “Sep 21” you can see an invest that would fail to become a TC. Moving into the Atlantic you can see Hurricane Fiona quite clearly, and Tropical Storm Gaston also shows up. In the bottom right is the NHC TWO cone for the Invest that would later become the tragic Hurricane Ian. And another cone, that which would later become Tropical Depression Eleven.


IMG_8744.jpeg
In this one Fiona appears again, and south of Fiona is again the invest that became the infamous Hurricane Ian. The Invest and its cone is that of again the future TD Eleven. The area of convection moving off Africa would later become Tropical Storm Hermine. Gaston also appears in the top of shot.

IMG_8746.jpeg
Now we get to Invest 93L, future Hurricane Ian.

IMG_8747.jpeg
Noru appears in the bottom, but the other storm this time is what would later be named Talas (the storm near Japan)

IMG_8748.jpeg
Featuring Fiona and Gaston, with a small clip of Hermine just underneath the timestamp

IMG_8749.jpeg

From left to right:Noru, Talas, an invest that most likely became Kulap, Newton, TD 10L (Future Ian), Fiona, Gaston, the invest that later became TD 11L, and Hermine
 

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Time for a blast from the past! These following screenshots are all from 2022, the oldest screenshots I have, and they are from my early days of tracking tropical cyclones.

View attachment 45383
This first one is from the early stages of Hurricane Ian. You can see there that had recently become a Category 1. In the bottom right corner you can see the invest track and cone of what later became the short-lived Tropical Depression Eleven.


View attachment 45384The main feature in this one is Super Typhoon Noru, and the other storm is Typhoon Kulap.

View attachment 45385
Again, Noru and Kulap

View attachment 45388
Several storms appear in this one: on the left is the remnants of what had been Tropical Storm Newton, and if you look just below the “Sep 21” you can see an invest that would fail to become a TC. Moving into the Atlantic you can see Hurricane Fiona quite clearly, and Tropical Storm Gaston also shows up. In the bottom right is the NHC TWO cone for the Invest that would later become the tragic Hurricane Ian. And another cone, that which would later become Tropical Depression Eleven.


View attachment 45389
In this one Fiona appears again, and south of Fiona is again the invest that became the infamous Hurricane Ian. The Invest and its cone is that of again the future TD Eleven. The area of convection moving off Africa would later become Tropical Storm Hermine. Gaston also appears in the top of shot.

View attachment 45390
Now we get to Invest 93L, future Hurricane Ian.

View attachment 45391
Noru appears in the bottom, but the other storm this time is what would later be named Talas (the storm near Japan)

View attachment 45392
Featuring Fiona and Gaston, with a small clip of Hermine just underneath the timestamp

View attachment 45393

From left to right:Noru, Talas, an invest that most likely became Kulap, Newton, TD 10L (Future Ian), Fiona, Gaston, the invest that later became TD 11L, and Hermine
Part 2:

IMG_8750.jpeg
More Noru and Talas

IMG_8752.png
Here is what was at this moment Subtropical Storm Nicole (later a Category 1 hurricane and last hurricane of the 2022 season) and an invest that attempted to become a TS, got so close but ultimately failed.

IMG_8753.png
More Nicole and Invest

IMG_8754.jpegThe long-tracked Invest to the left is what later became Typhoon Nesat. The depression is Haitang.

IMG_8755.jpegThis one would later be called Moderate Tropical Storm Balita by Meteo-France.

IMG_8756.jpeg
Here’s one starting Hurricane Lisa (at the time here a weakening Tropical Depression)

IMG_8757.jpeg
Here is the single screenshot I have from Tropical Storm Karl.


IMG_8758.jpeg
From left to right: Tropical Storm Paine in the EPAC, the Invest that later became Hurricane Julia and in the Atlantic MDR, the weakening TD Twelve.

IMG_8759.jpeg
The invest in the South China Sea would later become Tropical Storm Sonca. Invest 98W (Maymay, a Philippine name) failed to form. The invest between 98W/Maymay and what was the tropical depression that became Tropical Storm Haitang was the invest that again became Typhoon Nesat.

IMG_8760.jpegThe track in this one is of Typhoon Nalgae, and an Invest behind it that failed to do anything. The Invest in the SHEM would not be named but it would become TC 04S.

@Kds86z @KakashiHatake2000
 
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Part 2:

View attachment 45394
More Noru and Talas

View attachment 45395
Here is what was at this moment Subtropical Storm Nicole (later a Category 1 hurricane and last hurricane of the 2022 season) and an invest that attempted to become a TS, got so close but ultimately failed.

View attachment 45397
More Nicole and Invest

View attachment 45398The long-tracked Invest to the left is what later became Typhoon Nesat. The depression is Haitang.

View attachment 45399This one would later be called Moderate Tropical Storm Balita by Meteo-France.

View attachment 45400
Here’s one starting Hurricane Lisa (at the time here a weakening Tropical Depression)

View attachment 45401
Here is the single screenshot I have from Tropical Storm Karl.


View attachment 45402
From left to right: Tropical Storm Paine in the EPAC, the Invest that later became Hurricane Julia and in the Atlantic MDR, the weakening TD Twelve.

View attachment 45403
The invest in the South China Sea would later become Tropical Storm Sonca. Invest 98W (Maymay, a Philippine name) failed to form. The invest between 98W/Maymay and what was the tropical depression that became Tropical Storm Haitang was the invest that again became Typhoon Nesat.

View attachment 45404The track in this one is of Typhoon Nalgae, and an Invest behind it that failed to do anything. The Invest in the SHEM would not be named but it would become TC 04S.
Part 3:

IMG_8761.jpeg
Invest 93S would become Tropical Cyclone 04S but was never named.

IMG_8762.jpeg
More Lisa

IMG_8763.jpeg
Straight up Hurricane Martin at 35N in November, classic extratropical origins.

IMG_8764.jpeg
Just Lisa again, but if you look up in the top right, you can see a powerful extratropical cyclone, which was ex-Hurricane Martin.


IMG_8765.jpeg
And finally, then-Subtropical Storm Nicole and the gale-force Invest that attempted to become a TS, but ended up failing to.

@Kds86z @KakashiHatake2000
 
Part 3:

View attachment 45405
Invest 93S would become Tropical Cyclone 04S but was never named.

View attachment 45406
More Lisa

View attachment 45407
Straight up Hurricane Martin at 35N in November, classic extratropical origins.

View attachment 45408
Just Lisa again, but if you look up in the top right, you can see a powerful extratropical cyclone, which was ex-Hurricane Martin.


View attachment 45409
And finally, then-Subtropical Storm Nicole and the gale-force Invest that attempted to become a TS, but ended up failing to.

@Kds86z @KakashiHatake2000
Excellent work @Atlantic !
 
Time for a blast from the past! These following screenshots are all from 2022, the oldest screenshots I have, and they are from my early days of tracking tropical cyclones.

@Kds86z @KakashiHatake2000

View attachment 45383
This first one is from the early stages of Hurricane Ian. You can see there that had recently become a Category 1. In the bottom right corner you can see the invest track and cone of what later became the short-lived Tropical Depression Eleven.


View attachment 45384The main feature in this one is Super Typhoon Noru, and the other storm is Typhoon Kulap.

View attachment 45385
Again, Noru and Kulap

View attachment 45388
Several storms appear in this one: on the left is the remnants of what had been Tropical Storm Newton, and if you look just below the “Sep 21” you can see an invest that would fail to become a TC. Moving into the Atlantic you can see Hurricane Fiona quite clearly, and Tropical Storm Gaston also shows up. In the bottom right is the NHC TWO cone for the Invest that would later become the tragic Hurricane Ian. And another cone, that which would later become Tropical Depression Eleven.


View attachment 45389
In this one Fiona appears again, and south of Fiona is again the invest that became the infamous Hurricane Ian. The Invest and its cone is that of again the future TD Eleven. The area of convection moving off Africa would later become Tropical Storm Hermine. Gaston also appears in the top of shot.

View attachment 45390
Now we get to Invest 93L, future Hurricane Ian.

View attachment 45391
Noru appears in the bottom, but the other storm this time is what would later be named Talas (the storm near Japan)

View attachment 45392
Featuring Fiona and Gaston, with a small clip of Hermine just underneath the timestamp

View attachment 45393

From left to right:Noru, Talas, an invest that most likely became Kulap, Newton, TD 10L (Future Ian), Fiona, Gaston, the invest that later became TD 11L, and Hermine
Sorry @Atlantic. Missed part 1!
 
The disturbance near the CPAC I mentioned previously has been designated Invest 97E. As of 12Z it was located at 10.6N, 137.7W. Another 2.4 degrees W of movement and it will cross into the Central Pacific basin (which begins at 140W). Should it still be an invest by the time it moves into the Central Pacific, the CPHC will likely change the invest designation from 97E to 90C, as that is what they do for EPAC invests that crossover to the Central Pacific basin. They did it for what became Hone last year.
 
The disturbance near the CPAC I mentioned previously has been designated Invest 97E. As of 12Z it was located at 10.6N, 137.7W. Another 2.4 degrees W of movement and it will cross into the Central Pacific basin (which begins at 140W). Should it still be an invest by the time it moves into the Central Pacific, the CPHC will likely change the invest designation from 97E to 90C, as that is what they do for EPAC invests that crossover to the Central Pacific basin. They did it for what became Hone last year.
You enjoy following pacific as much as Atlantic @Atlantic?
 
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