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  • Current Tropical Systems
    Erin

2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

But then again, the EURO had a 90% probabilities that a TD at least would come out of Invest 93L, and look how that ended up.
Reminder that 90% probability still leaves 10% chance of not developing. Doesn't always mean development is guaranteed.
 
Not going to name names, but this was kind of funny:

"We’re monitoring a tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic. It’s far too soon to know if this system will continue west"

Is it now? We're expecting an Atlantic tropic wave to move some other direction are we? LOL.
 
Not going to name names, but this was kind of funny:

"We’re monitoring a tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic. It’s far too soon to know if this system will continue west"

Is it now? We're expecting an Atlantic tropic wave to move some other direction are we? LOL.
That's hilarious.
 
Not going to name names, but this was kind of funny:

"We’re monitoring a tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic. It’s far too soon to know if this system will continue west"

Is it now? We're expecting an Atlantic tropic wave to move some other direction are we? LOL.
What’s it gonna do? Go southeast and cross the equator? Lol!
 
How bout a curveball? The 10/10 tropical wave being monitored in the MDR unexpectedly has been designated an invest. Invest 94L!
IMG_6959.png
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IMG_6958.png
 
One thing to point out is that, with the exception of 2000 and somewhat with 2013, the majority of the Atlantic storms those years listed above got strongest outside of the MDR. 2018 is my top analog year and only 7 out of the 16 systems that year formed in the MDR.
 
One thing to point out is that, with the exception of 2000 and somewhat with 2013, the majority of the Atlantic storms those years listed above got strongest outside of the MDR. 2018 is my top analog year and only 7 out of the 16 systems that year formed in the MDR.
This is also the second season after an El Niño, and seasons two years removed from an El Niño tend to be notorious for devastating storms.
 
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