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  • Current Tropical Systems
    Erin

2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Even though it FEELS like the season is off to a dreadfully slow start, we are actually about average. The vast majority of the season still lies before us, and even though the tropics looks less than hospitable right now, I strongly suspect as we head into the heart of the season in the next weeks, they'll be some major action.

FWIW, the Google DeepMind AI shows quite a high chance of hurricane off the east coast of Florida in about 10 days. Worth keeping an eye on.
 
In a little over a week, Google's DeepMind AI has two areas of concern -- FL/Gulf and the MDR. Will be interesting to see how things go.

View attachment 45600
Well here we go again, peak season is approaching…

What Could Go Wrong Famous Last Words GIF by Hot Yachts Miami
 
If it wants to compete with 2025 tornado season we’re in trouble.
It’s just a feeling I have. The Atlantic produces three shortlived TS before August (Chantal being the strongest) and I know that early season activity does not correlate with peak season activity, but it worries me that the Atlantic had its weakest start since 2017.
 
It’s just a feeling I have. The Atlantic produces three shortlived TS before August (Chantal being the strongest) and I know that early season activity does not correlate with peak season activity, but it worries me that the Atlantic had its weakest start since 2017.
Will you be making threads here for major hurricanes I am guessing?
 
Will you be making threads here for major hurricanes I am guessing?
If I have the time to after August 13th. I will be starting a job program that day in which I will be there or out volunteering from 8am to 2pm.
 
Let's just say Google's DeepMind AI is showing the tropics lighting up like dynamite over the next 7-14 days. If it verifies, they'll be several storms and potentially hurricanes.
 
So in the next 14 days, the Google DeepMindAI (which has been doing great so far this year) is showing 4 areas of development: 1) The currently-marked area off the East Coast (it keeps it a tropical storm), 2) Florida, either east of Florida or west of Florida into the eastern Gulf, some of these become hurricanes, 3) and 4) Two MDR storms that move west generally towards the U.S.

Waking up!
 
So in the next 14 days, the Google DeepMindAI (which has been doing great so far this year) is showing 4 areas of development: 1) The currently-marked area off the East Coast (it keeps it a tropical storm), 2) Florida, either east of Florida or west of Florida into the eastern Gulf, some of these become hurricanes, 3) and 4) Two MDR storms that move west generally towards the U.S.

Waking up!
Better than last year at this time (August 2024 only had Debby and Ernesto, both of which were hurricanes)
 
My feeling that the Atlantic is going to explode in activity hasn’t changed, in fact my gut feeling has gotten more worrying. It may be wrong, but just something I wanted to know.
 
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