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2020 Political Thread
- Thread starter gangstonc
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I may have been off with this. By my math it looks like there is around 425k votes left to count, and Trump currently has a 135k lead. If Biden gets 2 to 1 votes (or about 66% of the remaining), it's almost a dead tie. If a significant number of that 425k is from Philly, his odds have to be pretty good. If it is more scattered, it might be real close.
Or my math might be way off too.
- Moderator
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"Biden would need to win only 60 percent of the outstanding vote (mostly mail-in ballots) in Pennsylvania in order to carry the state. According to the Philadelphia Inquirer’s Jonathan Tamari, Biden had won 78 percent of the mail votes counted as of this morning."
-538
-538
- Moderator
- #1,165
Indeed
"There are approximately 369,364 mail-in ballots left to be counted in the state, according to the Pennsylvania's secretary of state website. Philadelphia County estimates that they have 92,000 to 95,000 mail-in and absentee ballots left to count." -CNN
Given current trajectories it seems very favorable for Biden to see this through as the winner and if that happens, game over. And I cannot wait to stop being glued to this stuff...
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Down to 326,348 mail-in ballots to count in PA. Direct link to the dashboard since their website keeps crashing.
app.powerbigov.us
Microsoft Power BI
app.powerbigov.us
maroonedinhsv
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Trump’s speech was just as ridiculous as I expected. On the plus side, he did work in the word “shenanigans”.
Georgia is going to be razor thin and will have a recount if needed. Looks like Biden might finish the night very slightly ahead there, but apparently there's still some provisional and military votes to count.
In PA, Trump is up 49k with 210k votes left to count. Biden only needs 62% of the remaining votes to surpass him, and he's been getting them all evening around a 70% clip. Hard not to see it flipping to Biden, probably by around 10-15k IMO.
Arizona looks to be headed to flip to Trump by a similar margin that PA will flip to Biden.
In PA, Trump is up 49k with 210k votes left to count. Biden only needs 62% of the remaining votes to surpass him, and he's been getting them all evening around a 70% clip. Hard not to see it flipping to Biden, probably by around 10-15k IMO.
Arizona looks to be headed to flip to Trump by a similar margin that PA will flip to Biden.
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Replay of Trump's speech
- Moderator
- #1,170
Last edited by a moderator:
maroonedinhsv
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Both Georgia seats will require a runoff in January. That will determine who controls the senate. Translation: millions of dollars are about to pour into Georgia campaigns from both sides.
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You've been holding that in for a while, haven't you?
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Yeah, that is a crazy situation as well. I'm sooooooo glad I don't live in Georgia. Talk about threading a needle.
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Yup haha.
Biden now with a small lead in GA, about 1k votes. Biden's lead in PA is expected to grow throughout the day of course.
Biden now with a small lead in GA, about 1k votes. Biden's lead in PA is expected to grow throughout the day of course.
- Moderator
- #1,176
Mississippi voters approved a Medical Marijuana program on Tuesday. It passed roughly 70/30. The program should be up a running by August but we’ll see if they hit that benchmark.
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- #1,178
You mean you wouldn't support a Tucker Carlson/Trump Jr 2024 ticket lol
- Moderator
- #1,179
Please, there are children on here.
Ha. I like Tucker, but I'll pass.
It's way too premature to be talking 2024, but if there was a frontrunner coming out of 2020, it'd have to be DeSantis.
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