Severe Weather 2026

UncleJuJu98 · Tuesday at 6:01 PM

KakashiHatake2000 said:

That’s what I’ve been saying lol. Needs a risk area

KakashiHatake2000 · Tuesday at 6:02 PM

Yeah looks pretty decent

WeathermanLeprechaun · Tuesday at 6:28 PM

That's super odd for August but models aren't locked in yet. A lot of variance, so i would hold off. One thing for sure, this is not your average August setup though.

akt1985 · Tuesday at 6:46 PM

Is there also a flooding risk this weekend for the South?

KakashiHatake2000 · Tuesday at 7:25 PM

I have not seen anything yet at least for outlooks

UncleJuJu98 · Tuesday at 8:02 PM

y

WeathermanLeprechaun said:
That's super odd for August but models aren't locked in yet. A lot of variance, so i would hold off. One thing for sure, this is not your average August setup though.

Yeah I have no recollection ever of this look in August lol. For my area

Argus · Tuesday at 8:15 PM

It's July and there's a tornadic storm heading my way. Athens gets their worst weather in the summer, I swear.

JPWX · Tuesday at 9:24 PM

akt1985 said:
Is there also a flooding risk this weekend for the South?

Just your typical Marginal and Slight Risk for flash flooding both Friday/Saturday. I can see the Slight Risk for Saturday being expanded back more into MS.

UncleJuJu98 · Tuesday at 9:29 PM

Check out the 18z euro. Pretty good for a summertime event here in the southeast. I like it. I think a risk outline will come tomorrow

JPWX · Tuesday at 9:44 PM

Flash flooding might be the biggest worry for Saturday as the Euro shows PWAT values pushing nearly to the 3 inch mark for parts of North MS into parts of Alabama.

UncleJuJu98 · Tuesday at 10:43 PM

1006mb low on the nam moving west to east from Arkansas to Tennessee. Drop that down 3-4 mb and it’s gonna be oof.

Kds86z · Tuesday at 11:09 PM

JPWX said:
Flash flooding might be the biggest worry for Saturday as the Euro shows PWAT values pushing nearly to the 3 inch mark for parts of North MS into parts of Alabama.

Drought over?

tennessee storm chaser · Wednesday at 3:57 AM

Kind suprised SPC mentions. Tornado risk could develop over parts Tennessee into Kentucky for Saturday afternoon .

UncleJuJu98 · Wednesday at 5:22 AM

tennessee storm chaser said:
Kind suprised SPC mentions. Tornado risk could develop over parts Tennessee into Kentucky for Saturday afternoon .

I think we will need to see a increase in shear for any sizable threat.

tennessee storm chaser · Wednesday at 5:29 AM

UncleJuJu98 said:
I think we will need to see an increase in shear for any sizable threat.

Agree there. Why I was suprised

UncleJuJu98 · Wednesday at 6:37 AM

tennessee storm chaser said:
Agree there. Why I was suprised

Although this is a highly anomalous event for this time of year in the Deep South. A drop in pressure is a very real possibility. Especially getting into the CAM range. My eyes are glued. Never experienced a August event in Alabama loll

tennessee storm chaser · Wednesday at 7:57 AM

UncleJuJu98 said:
Although this is a highly anomalous event for this time of year in the Deep South. A drop in pressure is a very real possibility. Especially getting into the CAM range. My eyes are glued. Never experienced a August event in Alabama loll

Hello super Nino ….

WeathermanLeprechaun · Wednesday at 8:08 AM

HRRR has a unusual setup in E KS on Thursday. MCV like profiles with 90/72, and instability could be underestimated. But a SE moving supercell could pose a isolated threat for a tornado or two. Will continue to monitor that.

UncleJuJu98 · Wednesday at 9:21 AM

Well the 06z euro is a 1002-1003 mb low now. My interest has peaked

JPWX · Wednesday at 9:23 AM

Kds86z said:
Drought over?

The drought has been over for a while now down here.

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