Looks as though Leslie is about to meet her demise 3 weeks after her initial advisory as a subtropical storm on 9/23. She's making a beeline for Portugal.
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 20.7 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast
motion toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through
Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island overnight and early Saturday, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and move
inland over portions of Portugal and Spain late Saturday and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula Saturday night, and
the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
Is anyone seeing anything with the latest system in the western Caribbean that may hit the Florida Panhandle/Big Bend late next week? I hope it’s not raining too hard next Saturday as I plan on going to the Florida Forest Festival in Perry, home of the world’s largest free fish fry next Saturday.
Hurricane Willa is rapidly intensifying in the Pacific and looks like it's squaring up for a direct hit in southwest Mexico. The absolute worst case would be for the remnants to make their way into Texas where there's already major flooding going on. Might merit its own thread.
Pretty wild that there's a second (post-)tropical cyclone making landfall - couple hundred miles down the coast from Willa. I guess the only good thing about Mexico Pacific landfalls is that the mountains shred them pretty quickly.
Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the Atlantic...
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 12 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A vigorous tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Leeward
Islands is producing a large area of disturbed weather over much of
the western tropical Atlantic Ocean. Shower and thunderstorm
activity has increased and become a little more concentrated this
morning, and environmental conditions are forecast to gradually
become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression
or a tropical storm during the next day or so. The disturbance is
forecast to move westward to west-northwestward for the next few
days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico,
Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. Interests in these areas
should closely monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.