Severe WX March 29-30, 2022 Severe Event

[Richardjacks]

Looks like the Td's are ahead of the HRRR...already up to 53 here in Bham with sunshine

 

[weir003]

Yeah I always hate middle of the night stuff.

We have a new memorial weather station coming online that is at my home at the moment. Here is the data it collected. The siting isn't exactly great so the wind is not really correct (trust me it was gusting higher than 10 mph lol) But some useful data from our WeatherFlow Tempest devices. If you ever decide to get one let us know, I would like to start a network of TW member sites. We have a 10% discount if you use the promo code TALKWEATHER and the site also gets a credit as well.

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https://tempestwx.com/station/67344/. Love mine!

 

[brianc33710]

The dewpoints didn't rise as high as forecast with the last outbreak. We had strong southerly winds but cause they were SE not SW even Tuscaloosa didn't get much above 60 still the rain actually began. Maybe that happens today.

 

[Clancy]

1630Z update has no major changes, except for slight adjustment of the risk areas to account for front movement and slight northward jut of the ENH.

 

[jules]

It’s beautiful weather out ahead of the system this morning; warm, sunny and breezy in Bham.

 

[Richardjacks]

The dewpoints didn't rise as high as forecast with the last outbreak. We had strong southerly winds but cause they were SE not SW even Tuscaloosa didn't get much above 60 still the rain actually began. Maybe that happens today.

I imagine that the td's drop off a bit due to the sunshine/mixing...plus with winds SSE this time too

 

[Austin Dawg]

I imagine that the td's drop off a bit due to the sunshine/mixing...plus with winds SSE this time too

I have to go to two different doctors today and probably will be busy till three or 4 o'clock in the afternoon. Does anybody have a timing of the system through the North/Central East Mississippi and North West/Central Alabama? I'll try to keep up with everything but I have family in those areas and I promised them I will keep a watch out during these days.

 

[Clancy]

I have to go to two different doctors today and probably will be busy till three or 4 o'clock in the afternoon. Does anybody have a timing of the system through the North/Central East Mississippi and North West/Central Alabama? I'll try to keep up with everything but I have family in those areas and I promised them I will keep a watch out during these days.

These are the official graphics from JAN and BMX.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

New tornado watch out for portions of southern/southwestern Louisiana and far southeast Texas. Still mostly west of the moderate risk area.

 

[Equus]

Gradient wind already very high; been a very long time since I've seen a full on high wind warning locally for gradient winds, that's pretty disconcerting. This will not be a fun day

 

[TornadoFan]

PLenty of tornado warnings already along the main line.

 

[Richardjacks]

Seems to me in the next few hours we will have a mature squall line/ongoing derecho event that will start to pickup speed to the east. These things always go further east than instability once they get going.

 

[warneagle]

PLenty of tornado warnings already along the main line.

Yeah, I feel bad for the warning coordinators having to play whack-a-mole all day today.

There's a little bit of disorganized convection ahead of the line but no real indication of potential supercells yet. (Obviously still very early as the main line is just now reaching the ENH area.)

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

Message:	NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-LA1263E998D9B0.TornadoWarning.1263E998FDA0LA.SHVTORSHV.3f1f8df93331ffa631d29eac8d867b5f from [email protected]
Sent:	12:08 CDT on 03-30-2022
Effective:	12:08 CDT on 03-30-2022
Expires:	13:00 CDT on 03-30-2022
Event: Tornado Warning Alert: The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Natchitoches Parish in northwestern Louisiana... Southwestern Winn Parish in north central Louisiana... * Until 100 PM CDT. * At 1207 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Natchitoches, moving east at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Natchitoches, Clarence, Atlanta, St. Maurice and Grand Ecore. TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN Instructions: TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Target Area: Natchitoches Winn
Forecast Office:	NWS Shreveport (Shreveport)

 

[Equus]

Eight simultaneous tornado warnings along line in LA; going to be numerous spin ups but that's probably a bit excessive, going to be hard to play whack a mole today and the moles may be legitimately EF2-3 tornadoes with these dynamics

 

[TornadoFan]

Looks like intense rotation between Goldonna and Ashland, Louisiana. (East of Shreveport)

 

[MattPetrulli]

Of the 8 active warnings, the Chestnut, LA cell looks the most impressive, showing embedded supercell characteristics and strong rotation

 

[Jacob]

Yeah, I feel bad for the warning coordinators having to play whack-a-mole all day today.

There's a little bit of disorganized convection ahead of the line but no real indication of potential supercells yet. (Obviously still very early as the main line is just now reaching the ENH area.)

I don't fault offices on days like today doing something similar to what JAN did the other day and just go with blanket tornado warnings, especially in radar holes. That line the other day was spitting out small tornadoes left and right as it approached Jackson, but you only see those right up near the radar.

 

[brianc33710]

Last hour dewpoints were 49 in Anniston, 53 in Bham, 55 in Alabaster & 61 in T-town. So they're beginning to rise. But I guess with all of our threats becoming very heavy rain events so many times in a row now I'll be bearish. Its a wait & see thing though. Eventually our "luck" will run out though.

 

[bwalk]