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Severe WX April 11th-13th, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

All evidence point to at least mid-high end EF4. We just gotta see if JAN actually pulls that trigger
 
30 fatalities would would make this the single deadliest tornado day since March 2, 2012 (if I’m not forgetting any events between then). 4/27-28/14 was spread over 2 days (at 35).
 
Ok, to be honest, I’ve lost a lot of confidence in the JAN survey team in recent years. They were very objective, intuitive, and middle of the road up until late 2014 with the Columbia, MS tornado. Since then, they’ve been low-balling big time. I’m concerned with the preliminary rating of only EF2, and I’m not holding my breath for an accurate rating.

Bassfield deserves a high-end EF4 rating at the very least. We’ll see.
 
We've got a lot of tornadoes here that are plausibly violent candidates. Usually with an outbreak there are only a couple that are really close.
 
Probably have a couple of days before the southern Mississippi tornadoes are finalized and mapped out. I've seen photos that make me think that, like Cookeville, we'd be talking about a slam dunk F5 before the early 2000s.
 
Wondering when we get some data out of the Dora area track, that seemed to be a surprisingly long tracked TDS with injuries. The Walker-Cullman-Blount corridor got whacked pretty hard
 
Kory said:
30 fatalities would would make this the single deadliest tornado day since March 2, 2012 (if I’m not forgetting any events between then). 4/27-28/14 was spread over 2 days (at 35).
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I assume you mean continuous event vs single day correct? Technically the MS and GA tornadoes were on 4/12 and SC were the early morning of 4/13. But 4/27-4/28 was a two day, separate sequence. Sorry if this seems like nitpicking.


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Drone video that chasers are starting to post clearly shows that brown, denuded, muddy look that is so characteristic of violent tornadoes. Regardless of the official rating it's absolutely unquestionable that at least the biggest of the southern Mississippi tornadoes was violent.
 
buckeye05 said:
Ok, to be honest, I’ve lost a lot of confidence in the JAN survey team in recent years. They were very objective, intuitive, and middle of the road up until late 2014 with the Columbia, MS tornado. Since then, they’ve been low-balling big time. I’m concerned with the preliminary rating of only EF2, and I’m not holding my breath for an accurate rating.

Bassfield deserves a high-end EF4 rating at the very least. We’ll see.
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If the Hattiesburg tornado in 2013 was rated low-end EF4 how could this tornado be any less?
 
Cookeville did not have much of the contextual evidence that most violent tornadoes do, the vehicle and tree damage is FAR higher end in these S MS tornadoes so I'll have even less faith in the rating process than I do now if they don't end up with an equally violent rating
 
Seneca, SC rated high end EF3, for what it's worth. Getting multiple deadly EF3s confirmed in SC. The extent of this outbreak is very impressive
 
Equus said:
Cookeville did not have much of the contextual evidence that most violent tornadoes do, the vehicle and tree damage is FAR higher end in these S MS tornadoes so I'll have even less faith in the rating process than I do now if they don't end up with an equally violent rating
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That doesn't make sense that JAN would be able to get by with rating this tornado anything less than EF4.
 
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