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Severe WX April 11th-13th, 2020 Severe Weather Threat

Getting close to me on the edge of Pflugerville and Round Rock. This storm keeps going through odd cycles including two rotations at one time.
 
Austin Dawg said:
Cycling down storms are forming a line here. Big mess north of us. Looks like we will miss it. Best of luck and you all stay safe east of us here.
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Thank you, it will be long day and night for sure. We are temporarily in a top floor apartment as we have not moved into our next home yet. Thankfully I have clients with a basement-that's where we will be later today and this evening.
 
Well I just spent the last 10 minutes trying to rewrite the Easter song "Santa Claus is Coming to Town" to be James Spann/weather related for this day before I realized it's a Christmas song and not Easter. I feel stupid.

No point in continuing until our next outbreak on Christmas :(

You better not pout
You better not cry
You better not drive
I'm tellin' you why

Polygons are coming... to town.

< Enter James Spann on the mic >
I'll watch it while you're sleeping.
I'll warn when you're awake.
I know your radio has dead batteries
So please change them for goodness sake.
 
sak said:
Well I just spent the last 10 minutes trying to rewrite the Easter song "Santa Claus is Coming to Town" to be James Spann/weather related for this day before I realized it's a Christmas song and not Easter. I feel stupid.

No point in continuing until our next outbreak on Christmas :(

You better not pout
You better not cry
You better not drive
I'm tellin' you why

Polygons are coming... to town.

< Enter James Spann on the mic >
I'll watch it while you're sleeping.
I'll warn when you're awake.
I know your radio has dead batteries
So please change them for goodness sake.
Click to expand...
You didn't get enough sleep.
 
Richardjacks said:
Thank you, it will be long day and night for sure. We are temporarily in a top floor apartment as we have not moved into our next home yet. Thankfully I have clients with a basement-that's where we will be later today and this evening.
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If you pull up the Austin/San Antonio radar you can see the dry line pushing in behind this line of storms. We might have not gotten the forcast storms but it looks like it all will be ramping up from here.

Glad you have a basement.Screenshot 2020-04-12 06.42.59.png
 
Is it just me or is the RAP slower than most to erode the dewpoint across Alabama comparatively?

just poking around the SPC page and it’s hanging in there on the 2/4/6 hour panels
 
KJAN_SV_113_1586696400.png
Severe thunderstorm but Mississippi has it’s first warning of the day.
 
Temps hovering around 50 degrees just outside of Birmingham. That's going to have to really jump up over the next few hours if we're going to see any of this.
 
Get your coffee and popcorn ready for the 12z hrrr...
 
AL_ham_op said:
Temps hovering around 50 degrees just outside of Birmingham. That's going to have to really jump up over the next few hours if we're going to see any of this.
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That's exactly what the conditions were predicted to be this morning in the Bham area.
 
Kory said:
Things are right on track. I’m not sure how many freakin times we have to go through rapid warm air advection for people to get get a freakin clue of how we can rapidly change air masses here.
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True, but I've also seen the exact opposite happen a few times where the warm temps never really panned out despite what the models were showing.
 
AL_ham_op said:
True, but I've also seen the exact opposite happen a few times where the warm temps never really panned out despite what the models were showing.
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it can happen, but I don’t see it happening with this one. It will warm up starting around lunch, earlier than that points south of I-20
 
OK. The dewpoints along the Gulf Coast Pascagoula to Pensacola are now up to 68-72, with Hattiesburg up to 65. But, not that much farther north, Meridian, Demopolis & Evergreen are stuck 50-55. So the warm sector is still hours away. Until that reaches the I-59/20 corridor, I doubt that the SPC will pull the High Risk lever. I had thought the forecast would've brought the warm sector far further north by now.
 
brianc33710 said:
OK. The dewpoints along the Gulf Coast Pascagoula to Pensacola are now up to 68-72, with Hattiesburg up to 65. But, not that much farther north, Meridian, Demopolis & Evergreen are stuck 50-55. So the warm sector is still hours away. Until that reaches the I-59/20 corridor, I doubt that the SPC will pull the High Risk lever. I had thought the forecast would've brought the warm sector far further north by now.
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NO, no forecasts have brought the warm front any further north than where it is now...it is right on schedule....now if we had a large area of rain down there or further north- a completely different scenario
 
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