The probabilities were only 30/20 to begin with too. Very much surprised they haven’t removed us yet. I hope we’ll still get some heavy rain regardless. We sure could use it.
Barring any unexpected surprises, I’d say they’d cancel it before it expires. Not saying that they should, but there hasn’t been much in the way of activity there. Even AL has had its share of action earlier today, but not to the level of southern MS.
Yeah I'm hoping the tornado watch for North Georgia is cancelled from I-20 northward before the watch scheduled expiration time.
FFC and SPC seem to be taking a cautious approach. SCP values are still as high as 4 from Atlanta to Athens, despite ongoing convection, so I guess they're keeping it on the off chance something spins up. I find that highly unlikely though at this point, I think things further south are really undercutting the environment up here.
For sure. There is one source that is usually correct but I won’t post it
March 24th, 2023 Amory, MS and Winona, MS. That's the only notable one that comes to mind in my area. Pasadena-Deer Park, TX January 24th, 2023 I believe was the last Enhanced Risk one.
Well, I guess I can’t blame them for being cautious given what happened in Mississippi. I could see wanting to message the conditional potential for spinups, but given there’s been convection to the north and south all evening, I’m not sure we’re going to be able to get even a QLCS with the strength to really get going. Hoping for a good soaking rain with maybe a few rumbles of thunder here or there.
