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5/5-5-6 2026 severe threat

I just realized that I STILL haven't upgraded GRLevel3 2.93 to 3.00, which means I don't have access to the KHDC radar...

Regardless, KDGX is also picking up the debris ball on the Garden City tornado. Very bad situation.
gardencity2.png
 
The jet streak speed and its orthogonal orientation to the PBL plus the stouter than expected 700mb inversion layer and surface mixing has allowed for a far more discrete storm mode than expected from most cams. The hrrr began to notice around a day ago, it also trended stronger in helicity streaks.
The main failure mode for today are the meager LLLR and extremely low LFC, but again, the higher than expected mixing ratios has elevated the LFC at a high enough level to actually allow air parcels to gain enough acceleration to beef up the updrafts of the OWS supercells.
Notice how the cloud tops in the last hour spiked to -70c coinciding with the rapid increase in LLJ velocity, and soon enough wallah, you have multiple strong tornadoes on the ground.
 
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