RollTide18
Member
That’s crazy
Even during the 07 drought we had a few severe events here and there
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Severe Weather 2026
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
That’s crazy
Even during the 07 drought we had a few severe events here and there
kcyalater
Member
there will be absolute hell to pay in hurricane season.
Kds86z
Member
El Niño so nah.
Update, WxNext2 now has more purple for Friday: (source)
That's the most it's put on any event this year so far, except March 10th. On a day 5, too! I guess we'll see whether it's accurate.
Edit: March 10th was the CIG2 day with the Kankakee, IL tornado
Kds86z
Member
Kds86z
Member
For sure. I asked for a pin .
N0mz
Member
How are the AI models doing with severe? I’ve noticing the euro aifs is mostly out to lunch.Update, WxNext2 now has more purple for Friday: (source)
That's the most it's put on any event this year so far, except March 10th. On a day 5, too! I guess we'll see whether it's accurate.
Edit: March 10th was the CIG2 day with the Kankakee, IL tornado
Thus far, 2026 has been a particularly anemic Spring season for much of the Deep South as far as severe weather goes, and the past month has been abnormally dry thanks to persistent ridging. However, there's a possible signal for some welcome change towards the end of the month. Having some real trouble uploading images, so I'll attach later if possible, but GEFS is showing signs of life across the Southeast in the April 25-30 time frame. Persistent, primarily zonal flow is depicted on the GEFS over the southern CONUS during the time frame, and it looks like some much-needed moisture could make its way through the region then, along with at least a marginal chance for severe storms. Doesn't look like much, but I'll definitely take whatever I can get as far as the rain goes at least.
It's been a bit odd this season - statistically, we're roughly around average on the year-to-date tornado tally, and southern Mississippi has had at least one episode of tornadic activity every month aside from April thus far. Even central Georgia had some action with the two events on March 11 and March 15. But for central and Northern Alabama and immediate surroundings in neighboring states, where a lot of us are based, it's been very quiet so far. Definitely feels like a departure from the past several years of fairly prolific tornado activity for our area. I'll be interested to see if we get some action on the far side of the season in May or not. For now, I just want the rain to return for a while.
It's been a bit odd this season - statistically, we're roughly around average on the year-to-date tornado tally, and southern Mississippi has had at least one episode of tornadic activity every month aside from April thus far. Even central Georgia had some action with the two events on March 11 and March 15. But for central and Northern Alabama and immediate surroundings in neighboring states, where a lot of us are based, it's been very quiet so far. Definitely feels like a departure from the past several years of fairly prolific tornado activity for our area. I'll be interested to see if we get some action on the far side of the season in May or not. For now, I just want the rain to return for a while.
It was only a matter of time and late April hold's potential. I can see a couple threats in May as well.
akt1985
Member
I’m surprised there is not some kind of risk Saturday night for the Tennessee Valley with a almost 20 degree drop in temperature on Sunday.
I'm wondering if that Marginal Risk on Thursday gets expanded southward (I'm thinking it will) plus I do see where a threat can exist on Saturday too.
SaWxRodrigo
Member
Once again, both hemispheres severe weather...
As everyone knows, North America is currently experiencing a series of strong discrete supercells, accompanied by all severe weather hazards, in parts of the Midwest and the Southern Plains.
But, meanwhile, in South America, an energetic trough, positioned unusually far north, is producing classic Lee Cyclogenesis west of the Andes, accompanied by an intense MCC that is currently sweeping across northeastern Argentina and southern Paraguay, with macro and microbursts causing intense winds and heavy rainfall in a short period of time.
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Although, unlike in North America, no tornadoes have been reported yet, the risk is by no means any less:
.jpg)
As everyone knows, North America is currently experiencing a series of strong discrete supercells, accompanied by all severe weather hazards, in parts of the Midwest and the Southern Plains.
But, meanwhile, in South America, an energetic trough, positioned unusually far north, is producing classic Lee Cyclogenesis west of the Andes, accompanied by an intense MCC that is currently sweeping across northeastern Argentina and southern Paraguay, with macro and microbursts causing intense winds and heavy rainfall in a short period of time.
Although, unlike in North America, no tornadoes have been reported yet, the risk is by no means any less:
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KakashiHatake2000
Member
BamaWX
Member
Sounding taken from the 06Z GFS on the Chilton–Shelby county line. It's still a long way off, but I'm keeping a close eye on it.
kcyalater
Member
and alabama may have been reading my posts all along.
we ain’t done yet.
we ain’t done yet.
Sharpy
Member
Was coming here to say the same. Not a slam dunk by any means though but definitely an increase in storms. The looks aren’t the clearest at the moment, but bears watching for anything.
kcyalater
Member
just having a pattern conducive to the traditional low ejection through memphis instead of OK city to omaha is a start. can’t dunk if you can’t reach the rim.
Spann's post is what I've said and been saying. It's not over. When I saw the expected Typhoon recurve, I was like yep here we go